---
title: Amid the sharp military escalation, odds of a full Iran blockade by July 13 jumped 50% since the last update 4 days ago
description: "Source: zerohedge, Polymarket"
---

[Syz The Moment](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment)

# [Amid the sharp military escalation, odds of a full Iran blockade by July 13 jumped 50% since the last update 4 days ago](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/amid-the-sharp-military-escalation-odds-of-a-full-iran-blockade-by-july-13-jumped-50-since-the-last-update-4-days-ago)

 Written by [Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/author/charles-henry-monchau) | Jul 13, 2026, 3:12:14 PM

[View full post](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/amid-the-sharp-military-escalation-odds-of-a-full-iran-blockade-by-july-13-jumped-50-since-the-last-update-4-days-ago)

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