5 Jul 2024

French stocks are more than 4% away from reclaiming the losses they have suffered since the election was called last month.

Meanwhile, French bonds already have been lifted by the political maneuvering that seeks to block Marine Le Pen’s National Rally from winning an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The Franco-German 10yr spread has came down by -5bps to 67bps and has been tightening for 5 .consecutive day. This takes the spread down its tightest level in three weeks. Emmanuel Macron’s centrist group and a left-wing alliance opposed to Le Pen strategically pulled 223 candidates out of constituencies in an effort to avoid splitting opposition to the far right and lessen its chances of winning enough seats to form a government. That means no party is likely to win the 289 seats needed for a majority, the Morgan Stanley team said. Source: David Simon Elkoubi, Morgan Stanley


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