13 Dec 2024

Has the era o stagflation begun?

Initial jobless claims spiked by 17,000 to 242,000 last week, the highest since the first week of October. Non-seasonally adjusted claims skyrocketed by 99,140 to 310,366, the highest since January. This marks a whopping 30% year-over-year increase. At the same time, the number of people receiving jobless benefits surged to 1.89 million, near the 3-year high. To put this into perspective, continuing jobless claims are now 14% above the 2018-2019 pre-pandemic levels. All while CPI, PCE, and PPI inflation are all back on the rise. We have a weakening labour market with rising inflation. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

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