---
title: HolgerZ on German elections results 👇
description: "•🚨 CDU leader Friedrich Merz has emerged as the winner of a turbulent federal election. The CDU/CSU secured just 28.6% of the vote—its second-worst result in history. The SPD, expected to be the next coalition partner, collapsed to 16.4%, marking its weakest performance since World War II. Meanwhile, the far-right AfD doubled its support to 20.8%, and the Left Party also saw a significant surge, reaching 8.8%.\n👉 The FDP and BSW failed to clear the 5% threshold and will NOT be represented in the Bundestag. W/just 45% of the vote, a CDU/CSU-SPD coalition is possible, avoiding the need to include the Greens, who dropped to 11.6%. \n👉However, fringe parties now hold a blocking minority, making constitutional changes—such as setting up an off-budget defense or infrastructure fund or reforming the debt brake—dependent on concessions to them or impossible altogether."
---

[Syz The Moment](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment)

# [HolgerZ on German elections results 👇](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/holgerz-on-german-elections-results-👇)

 Written by [Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/author/charles-henry-monchau) | Feb 24, 2025, 9:20:38 AM

[View full post](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/holgerz-on-german-elections-results-👇)

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