28 Jun 2024

What a difference a single debate can make...

Odds of Trump winning Presidential election has surged to 60% (red line below) while odds of Biden winning has collapsed (blue line below) due to the very poor performance of incumbent President during yesterday's evening political debate with Trump. As highlighted by Politico >>> "The alarm bells for Democrats started ringing the second Biden started speaking in a haltingly hoarse voice. Minutes into the debate, he struggled to mount an effective defense of the economy on his watch and flubbed the description of key health initiatives he’s made central to his reelection bid, saying “we finally beat Medicare” and incorrectly stating how much his administration lowered the price of insulin. He talked himself into a corner on Afghanistan, bringing up his administration’s botched withdrawal unprompted. He repeatedly mixed up “billion” and “million,” and found himself stuck for long stretches of the 90-minute debate playing defense. And when he wasn’t speaking, he stood frozen behind his podium, mouth agape, his eyes wide and unblinking for long stretches of time"... Rumors are now running wild on whether the Democrats should replace their candidate in a last minute turnaround


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