---
title: Will the equity market follow the historical script around geopolitical shocks
description: "\"The historical playbook is for a sharp selloff of about -6% to -8% but a bottom on average in 3 weeks, and a full recovery in another 3, usually long before the underlying escalation is resolved. The current selloff is in the vicinity of a typical bottom in size and timing.\" - Deutsche Bank\n\nSource: Sam Ro \n@SamRo\nDB"
---

[Syz The Moment](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment)

# [Will the equity market follow the historical script around geopolitical shocks](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/will-the-equity-market-follow-the-historical-script-around-geopolitical-shocks)

 Written by [Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/author/charles-henry-monchau) | Mar 24, 2026, 3:10:04 PM

[View full post](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/will-the-equity-market-follow-the-historical-script-around-geopolitical-shocks)

```json
{
  "@context" : "http://schema.org",
  "@type" : "BlogPosting",
  "author" : {
    "@type" : "Person",
    "name" : "Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA"
  },
  "dateModified" : "2026-03-24T15:10:04.069Z",
  "datePublished" : "2026-03-24T15:10:04Z",
  "headline" : "Will the equity market follow the historical script around geopolitical shocks",
  "image" : {
    "@type" : "ImageObject",
    "height" : 475,
    "url" : "https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/3-Mar-24-2026-03-08-49-7567-PM.jpg",
    "width" : 601
  },
  "mainEntityOfPage" : "https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/will-the-equity-market-follow-the-historical-script-around-geopolitical-shocks",
  "publisher" : {
    "@type" : "Organization",
    "logo" : {
      "@type" : "ImageObject",
      "height" : 60,
      "url" : "/hs/hsstatic/content_shared_assets/static-1.4092/img/default-amp-logo.png",
      "width" : 60
    },
    "name" : "Syz The Moment"
  }
}
```