SGS breakout ?
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Nearly 5% consolidation since the October high! A lot of stops have been triggered after breaking below 23,684, providing the fuel for a potential rebound toward new highs. The index is now entering a major swing support zone between 23,284 and 23,712 — keep an eye on price action in the coming days to confirm a possible low. Source: Bloomberg
After a 32% consolidation since September 2024, we’re now seeing signs of a short-term trend reversal! This is a very advanced signal that still needs confirmation from breakouts on longer time frames. On the monthly chart, Givaudan has reached an imbalance zone that could act as a strong support area — and we’re about 10% away from the major support zone starting around 2875. Source: Bloomberg
The past 30 times this happened, $SPX fell 83% of the time 2 months later ➡️ What is a Hindenburg Omen ??? The Hindenburg Omen is a technical analysis signal that’s often cited as a warning of a potential stock market crash or major correction. It’s named (dramatically) after the Hindenburg airship disaster, implying that markets might be headed for a similar fiery fate when the signal appears. Here’s what it actually means 👇 ⚙️ The Mechanics The Hindenburg Omen triggers when a specific combination of conditions occur on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE): 1. A large number of stocks hit new 52-week highs and a large number hit new 52-week lows — on the same day. 2. The number of new highs and new lows both represent more than 2.2% of all issues traded. 3. The NYSE composite index is above its level from 50 trading days ago (i.e., the market is still in an uptrend). 4. Market breadth (the McClellan Oscillator) is negative. 💡 What It Signals - This combo suggests internal conflict in the market — investors are both euphoric (driving some stocks to new highs) and fearful (dumping others to new lows). - That kind of divergence often happens before major turning points — when optimism and fear coexist uneasily. ⚠️ The Catch - It’s not a guaranteed crash predictor. - Historically, it’s produced lots of false alarms, but most major market crashes (like 2008) were preceded by one. So, think of it as a “storm warning” — not a crash forecast. When it flashes, investors tend to watch liquidity, breadth, and credit spreads much more closely. Source: Subu Trade: h/t @McClellanOsc