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26 May 2023

Walt Disney is back again on support zone 85-90

Walt Disney (DIS US) is once again testing major support zone 85-90. This zone has been tested 10 times over the last 8 years. Will it rebound once again ? Source : Bloomberg

25 May 2023

Falling inflation expectations could allow Norges Bank to hike further

In the medium term, we observe that the EUR/NOK direction tends to follow relative consumer confidence between the Euro-area and Norway. In the current economic context, this indicator is linked to inflation pessimism, and the recent positive inflection in Norway could signal the end of FX losses. In a survey published this week, households in Norway now expect inflation at 4% in one year, from 6% one quarter ago.
Falling inflation expectations could allow Norges Bank to hike further, and importantly, the revival of consumer confidence could eventually help NOK to recover.

Source: FxStreet & Société Générale

25 May 2023

UK Bond Market Suffers Major Blow on Unforeseen Surge in UK CPI!

The UK bond market witnessed a substantial downturn due to an unexpected surge in Britain's core inflation rate, reaching its highest level in over three decades. This surprising release led to a sharp 25bps rise in the two-year UK Treasury yield. Consequently, market sentiment has shifted, with rate hike expectations now fully priced in for June, and projections even suggesting a potential 50bps increase. As a result, the terminal rate, anticipated for December 2023, is now hovering at almost 5.5%, a significant shift from less than 5% merely two days ago. Source: Bloomberg.

24 May 2023

Diageo is testing lower end of symmetrical triangle

Diageo (DGE LN) is now trading at 3472 which is the lower end of symmetrical triangle. This pattern is in place since December 2022. Will it rebound once again ? Source : Bloomberg

24 May 2023

Lindt & Sprungli is retesting recent breakout level

Lindt & Sprungli (LISP SW) approaching support level 10780 represented by March breakout and August 2022 highs.Keep an eye on this level. Source : Bloomberg

23 May 2023

LVMH trying to find support on recent breakout level

LVMH (MC FP) is retesting recent breakout level 830. This support level was tested 5 times over the last 4 months. So keep an eye on it. Source : Bloomberg

22 May 2023

ASML Holding on major resistance level 642

ASML Holding (ASML NA) is testing major resistance level 642. Will it have enough strength to break ? Source : Bloomberg

22 May 2023

Greece’s 10-year government bond yield fell to 3.80%

The rate is down more than 110 basis points since last year’s high, taking down the spread to Italy bonds to -40bps.

Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis’s center-right New Democracy received almost 41% of the vote vs 20% for the leftist Syriza party. Mitsotakis could maybe secure a single-party government in about a month.

Will Greece be back in Investment Grade party?

Source: Bloomberg

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