Returns since the start of the conflict
Source: Trend Spider
Energy sector up 25% YTD. Everything else red.
One sector carrying the market isn't a rotation. It's a warning. Source: Michael A. Gayed, CFA @leadlagreport
Asian nations rely more on energy imports from the Strait of Hormuz than Europe, the US, or Oceania.
Source: Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600
The Strait of Hormuz just shut down.
The Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most critical energy passage. Daily, about 100 cargo vessels transit the strait, carrying around 20% of global oil consumption, 27% of seaborne oil trade, and 20% of global LNG. Asia is the most exposed, receiving 89% of crude and 83% of LNG shipments, while the U.S. imports only about 7% via the strait. Any closure could trigger a major global energy disruption. Source: Visual Capitalist, Global Markets Investor
Goldman Sachs: some oil is moving through the Strait of Hormuz
Source: Brian Sozzi @BrianSozzi Goldman Sachs
The Strait of Hormuz disruption goes far beyond oil:
Excluding energy, Bahrain faces ~62% of its total trade disrupted. The UAE is exposed at ~58%, and Qatar at ~46%. Gulf ports have become military targets, with the Strait effectively shut, sending shipping rates soaring and halting air cargo for a week. Source: Global Markets Investor @GlobalMktObserv
Oil Just Did the Unthinkable.
It didn’t just beat a crisis. It beat every crisis. Last week, WTI oil moved more violently than: • The Saudi price war of 1986 • The Gaza crisis of 2009 • Even the Covid demand collapse of 2020 In one week, oil experienced its biggest move in 40 years of recorded history. Source: Katusa Research @KatusaResearch
South Korea and Taiwan imposed fuel price caps to shield their economies from rising oil costs after the Middle East conflict.
South Korean President Lee Jae Myung announced a maximum price system for petroleum, the first in nearly 30 years, and pledged to seek alternative energy sources beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Taiwan set a weekly limit on oil-price increases to stabilize domestic prices, with the government activating its price-stabilization mechanism. Source: Market Watcher
