The US is pushing through another big military aid package for Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Germany has massive INDIRECT EXPORTS to Russia - see charts below. What are US taxpayers supposed to think when they see this? Source: Robin Brooks
Russia replaced oil exports to the EU with exports to India and China
Source: FT
According to RT, Russia has conducted a major exercise aimed at testing its strategic nuclear forces, the Kremlin said on Wednesday
The drills focused on the simulated delivery of ‘a massive nuclear strike by the strategic offensive-oriented forces in response to a nuclear strike by a simulated enemy’. Note that gold and bitcoin both jumped on the news.
Robin Brooks tweet: "In the first 8 months of 2023, German exports to Kyrgyzstan were up 1400% from the same period in 2019
A lot of these goods - mostly cars and car parts - never ends up in Kyrgyzstan, but go directly or indirectly to Russia"
Oil is up 30% this quarter but is there more to come?
As tweeted by The Kobeissi Letter, Russia and 3OPEC are now cutting a massive 4 million barrels per day of crude oil production. This is the highest level of production cuts outside of recessions over the last two decades. As Saudi Arabia and Russia extend production cuts of 1.3 million barrels per day, supply is going to remain limited for a while. OPEC has proven multiple times over the last three years that they are committed to higher oil prices. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, JP Morgan
Oil, diesel crack sread soar after Russia bans diesel, gasoline exports
With Diesel prices already soaring, recently sending the diesel crack to 2023 highs and assuring that refiners have another blowout quarter, Russia just handed a gift to the Exxons of the world when it "temporarily banned" exports of the diesel in a bid to stabilize domestic supplies, adding pressure on already tight global fuel markets. “Temporary restrictions will help saturate the fuel market, that in turn will reduce prices for consumers” in Russia, the government’s press office said on its website. The "temporary" ban, which also applies to gasoline, comes into force today, Sept. 21, and doesn’t have the final date, according to the government decree, signed by Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Russia’s central bank raises its key interest rate to 12% from 8.5% at an emergency meeting called after the Ruble crashed
The Ruble is recovering somewhat after its collapse, and now costs more than a penny again. Trades at 98 per Dollar. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
The clearest signal that Russia is losing this war?
The Russian ruble slid past 100 to the U.S. dollar on Monday, nearing a 17-month low as President Vladimir Putin’s economic advisor blamed loose #monetarypolicy for the rapid depreciation. The ruble has lost around 27% against the greenback since the turn of the year. It also has lost 23% vs Chinese Yuan, which Russia is embracing for trade as it seeks to ditch Western currencies. The Bank of Russia has blamed the country’s shrinking balance of trade, as Russia’s current account surplus fell 85% year on year from January to July. This slide that threatens to stoke inflation in an economy that has been kneecapped by Western sanctions. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg, DJ, CNBC
