The Turkish Lira is now down over 99.995% against the US Dollar from its all-time high.
Turkey sold nearly $26 BILLION in gold and Treasury bills this year trying to defend the currency. Even after all that intervention, the Lira is still making new all time lows almost every week. Source: Bull Theory
Japanese Yen will collapse to 165 against the U.S. Dollar, its weakest level since 1986, warns Goldman Sachs
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
🚨 THE BANK OF JAPAN MAY HAVE STEPPED INTO THE FX MARKET AGAIN.
USD/JPY surged to a fresh 40-year high of 162.84 before plunging to 160.90 within hours. A 1.2% intraday reversal in one of the world's most liquid currency pairs is highly unusual. It mirrors what happened in April and May, when Japanese authorities spent roughly $72–73 billion selling U.S. dollars and buying yen to slow the currency's collapse. The pattern looks strikingly familiar: • New multi-decade high. • Sudden, aggressive reversal. • Speculation of official intervention. There has been no official confirmation yet. But the speed and magnitude of the move are exactly what markets expect when Tokyo steps in. Even after the sharp rebound, the yen remains close to its weakest level in four decades, keeping pressure on policymakers as imported inflation rises and global markets watch for their next move. Source: Bull Theory
The US dollar has OUTPACED every G10 currency this month.
Source: Steve Hanke @steve_hanke
The dollar index $DXY bounced off a major long-term weekly trend line and is now pressing into key short-term resistance levels.
The setup has echoes of the 2020/21 consolidation, when an extended period of range trading eventually gave way to a powerful breakout higher. Importantly, the dollar is also trading comfortably above its 50-week moving average, reinforcing the improving medium-term trend. A decisive move through the 100.5 area would strengthen the breakout case. After spending more than a year coiling inside the current range, a break higher risks creating a vacuum move as traders scramble to adjust to a regime shift in the dollar. Source: TME LSEG
The market is massively rebuilding one of the most powerful, but also one of the riskiest trades out there: shorting the yen
📉 Many investors are once again betting on further yen weakness, even as the currency trades near a very sensitive level around 160 against the dollar, and have built their largest bearish positions on the yen since 2017. ⚠️ Market now seems to see these risks as largely priced in. A BoJ rate hike is no longer a real surprise, neither is intervention from the Ministry of Finance. The yen can still weaken gradually from here but the risk of a brutal squeeze rises as bearish positioning keeps building. Source: Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg
The Fed expanded the money supply by nearly $9 trillion under Powell.
Inflation has averaged >4% per year over the past 6 years. Powell's explanation? It was nearly all due to rolling “supply shocks" over which the Fed has no control. The truth: this inflation was made in Washington as it always is - from too much government borrowing/spending and too much government creation of money. Source: Charlie Bilello
Turkish Lira falls to an all-time low against the U.S. Dollar
Now down 98% since 2010 Source: Barchart
