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Call options volume on the volatility index, VIX, jumped above 1 million contracts on Tuesday for the 6th time this year.
Source : bloomberg
⚠️Is cash trash in this market?
US equity mutual funds cash as a percentage of total assets hit a RECORD LOW of 1.3%. Cash levels are even lower than in early 2022 when the bear market started. There is not much powder left to put into stocks anymore. Source: Global Markets Investor
IS THE MARKET TOO COMPLACENT ?
The Put-to-call ratio 30-day moving average FELL to the LOWEST since November 2021, one month before the 2022 bear market started. This aligns with the Feb 2020 levels, before the 2020 CRASH. Hedging barely exists in this market.👇 Source: Global Markets
The Goldman Sachs Bull/Bear Market Indicator measuring market and economic sentiment hit 73% 🚀
One of the largest readings in history. As you can see, this is in line with the previous peaks that occurred before bear markets in 1999, 2007, and 2020. The index uses US stock market valuations, government bonds yield curve, unemployment, inflation, and other economic metrics. ➡️ It simply means that the sentiment has rarely been this euphoric before. Source: Global Markets Investor, GS
Goldman Raises MSCI China Target as DeepSeek Improves Outlook - Bloomberg
Strategists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expect a blistering rally in Chinese equities to continue, as the emergence of DeepSeek sparks optimism over the country’s technological advancements. Kinger Lau and his colleagues see the MSCI China Index reaching 85 over the next 12 months, up from their previous target of 75. That indicates another 16% rise from Friday’s close. The index has already entered a bull market earlier this month. Their target for the CSI 300 Index was raised to 4,700 from 4,600.
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