This chart is fascinating, not only because of where the number stands today, but also how it has changed over time in these countries.
Which one stands out most? Source: Michel A.Arouet
Silver scores as the number 3 "bubble" according to BofA's Bubble Risk indicator (data per last week).
Source: BofA, TME
Software is deeply oversold (see below $IGV ETF) - Deutsche Bank seems to agree
1. DB argues Anthropic’s Enterprise Agents event reinforces that model providers are more likely to act as orchestration layers on top of incumbent software systems, not replace them, given the deep data, workflows, and metadata embedded in existing platforms (“Claude is only as useful as the data it connects to”). 2. This supports DB’s prior view that AI displacement risk to core software is over embedded in current multiples, making the event incrementally positive for the software sector. 3. Risks remain, including pressure on software development costs, potential changes to the interaction layer that could lower switching costs, and increased competition around the “control plane” for agentic AI, though DB continues to see this dynamic as supportive for infrastructure and compute demand.
P/E multiples tell the story
Software & Services used to rank as the 3rd most expensive industry group, it now sits 9th (and has fallen from 3rd to 13th in Europe). Multiples are down roughly 5.8x globally (around 5x in Europe), a re-rating unmatched by any other industry group. Source: DB, TME
Jamie Dimon is warning about “people doing dumb things,” while Boaz Weinstein believes private credit is still in the very early innings of the wheels starting to come off.
Few areas feel more topical right now than software-backed loans. If anything, it looks like we’re still about two years away from the real surge in extend and pretend activity. Source: RBC, Bloomberg
It seems investors believe in the reflation story.
Source: Goldman Sachs, EPFR
Coca-Cola ($KO) now has a higher P/E multiple than Microsoft $MSFT
Source: Stock Unlock
Credit card stocks down big based on Citrini Research says AI agents will eventually transact on Stablecoin payment rails and bypass interchange.
Visa -4.4% Mastercard -6.3% American Express -7.9% Capital One -8.0% Source: Bearly AI @bearlyai
