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This is EM currency performance versus the Dollar in 2024. The 3 worst performers are: (i) Argentina's Peso; (ii) Brazil's Real; (iii) Russia's Ruble.
Source: Bloomberg, Robin Brooks
The Ratio of Emerging Markets to US Equities is now at an all-time low, breaking below the prior low from March 1999.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Meanwhile: Very significant upward revision in the real GDP forecast for Brazil this last month.
Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg
The come-back of emerging markets equities?
We just witnessed the 2nd largest weekly inflow to EM equity funds ever according to BofA / EPFR fund flows data. Among the tailwinds for EM equities: weaker dollar, Fed cutting rates, room for EM central banks to ease monetary policy conditions, China stimulus and cheap valuations. Source: BofA, @ackmeni on X
GS: South Africa, Commodity heavy EMs (Peru, Chile), and North Asian equity markets have the highest sensitivity to China growth
Source: Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖, Goldman Sachs
One of the most striking charts this year: China’s startup ecosystem has almost completely collapsed in the last 5 years
Source: FT thru Alec Stapp on X
China weighs cutting mortgage rates in two steps to shield banks
Source: Bloomberg
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