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Falling volatility has supported a rebound in global fixed income markets, yet persistent macro uncertainty—centered on trade tensions, political interference, and diverging policy paths—continues to cloud the outlook.
After weeks of volatility, global fixed income markets stabilized, supported by easing yields and central bank signals, while regional divergences and trade policy developments continue to shape investor sentiment.
Volatility returned across fixed income markets last week as soft economic data, rising inflation expectations, and looming U.S. tariffs forced central banks into cautious mode — with rate expectations shifting, credit spreads widening, and high yield flashing early signs of stress.
Volatility returned across fixed income markets last week as soft economic data, rising inflation expectations, and looming U.S. tariffs forced central banks into cautious mode — with rate expectations shifting, credit spreads widening, and high yield flashing early signs of stress.
Amid dovish signals from the Fed and an expected SNB rate cut, bond markets diverged —European yields surged on fiscal expansion, Japanese long bonds hit historic highs, and EM resilience was tested by political and inflationary shocks.
Rising policy uncertainty is shaking up global fixed income markets—U.S. high-yield spreads surpass Europe for the first time since 2021, German yields surge on fiscal expansion, and central banks face tough choices amid inflation risks and slowing growth
Global fixed income markets saw historic moves last week, with German yields posting their second-largest weekly surge on record, the ECB delivering another rate cut, and U.S. rate expectations shifting higher.
The fixed-income landscape is shifting as U.S. Treasury yields drop, the UST-Bund spread collapses, and EM credit markets navigate widening spreads and political risks—setting the stage for a crucial month of central bank decisions.
Global fixed income markets remained volatile as Treasuries yields hit 2025 lows, ECB rate cut expectations waver, and China's bond yields spike, hinting at a potential economic rebound.
Stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data briefly sent rate cut expectations tumbling before weak retail sales and PPI data reversed the move. Meanwhile, European bonds reacted to GDP surprises, while emerging markets saw sharp divergences—Ukrainian bonds rallied on peace talk hopes, but Mexican debt widened amid political tensions.
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