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Global markets brace for central banks’ final 2024 moves, as the Fed prepares for another rate cut, Europe faces spread compression amidst rising rates, and emerging markets navigate a mixed landscape of tightening spreads and fiscal adjustments.

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16/12/2024

Interest expenses soar in the US while ECB and SNB cut rates. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Most US equities indexes ended the week lower, although the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite advanced modestly and cleared the 20,000 mark for the first time. The Russell 2000 Index recorded a second consecutive week of underperformance against the S&P 500 Index. Growth stocks posted a third consecutive week of outperformance versus value, thanks in part to gains in shares of Tesla (12%) and Alphabet (8.4%). On the macro-economic side, stagflation fears started to rise once again. Indeed, YoY CPI and PPI both accelerated. Meanwhile overall macro surprises disappointed for the fourth week in a row: on Thursday, the Labor Department reported a surprise jump in weekly initial jobless claims to a two-month high of 242,000.

A tale of two central banks: the ECB navigates stagflation and the SNB fights deflation pressures coming from CHF strength

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13/12/2024

Central banks face a delicate balancing act, with the Fed set for a likely December rate cut amid resilient U.S. growth, while the ECB prepares for gradual easing as political instability and slowing inflation grip Europe.

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09/12/2024

Bitcoin rings the bell at $100,000 and continues to deliver massive ETF inflows, while global debt hits a new high. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Nasdaq was the week's biggest winner among the US majors equity indices in a week that saw the S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all continue to hit record highs, while the Russell 2000 Index declined after back-to-back weeks of outperformance versus its larger-cap peers. The Russell 1000 growth index outperformed Russell 1000 value by 553bps, the largest margin since March 2023. Sector performance was also widely dispersed as consumer discretionary, communication services, and IT stocks all gained over 3% for the week, while energy, utilities, and materials stocks all fell over 3%. Geopolitical headlines through the first half of the week were largely dominated by French and South Korean politics, though these seemed to have limited impact on U.S. markets.

U.S. Treasuries posted a strong finish to November, gaining +0.8% for the month, as Scott Bessent’s nomination as Treasury Secretary and softer-than-expected macroeconomic data provided a supportive backdrop.

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02/12/2024

France grapples with a massive debt yield ahead of next year’s budget, while the S&P 500 surges by $10 trillion this year. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Stocks recorded another week of gains, lifting the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index, and S&P 400 MidCap Index to record intraday highs. Domestic policy and geopolitical factors appeared to be large drivers of sentiment during the week. On Monday, investors seemed to welcome President-elect Donald Trump’s nomination of Scott Bessent, a veteran hedge fund manager, as Treasury secretary. News of a cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah, first reported Monday and formally announced Tuesday, seemed to support sentiment and may have overshadowed news that the president-elect plans to quickly impose 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% tariff on imports from China.

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