Fast food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

The Fed remains cautious, wanting more data before deciding on a rate cut, while newly released US CPI data provided relief for the markets and the rise of Rassemblement National result in snap elections in France. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The major US equity indexes ended mostly higher for the week, with the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite touching new highs. The market’s advance remained exceptionally narrow for the 2nd consecutive week, however, with an equally weighted version of the S&P 500 trailing its more familiar, capitalization-weighted counterpart by 2.15%. The AI euphoria continues to provide a continuing tailwind to tech-related stocks and growth shares, which outpaced value stocks by the largest margin since March 2023 (461 basis points). Another factor behind growth shares’ outperformance may have been reassuring inflation data and falling bond yields. US headline CPI inflation was flat in May for the first time in nearly two years.

The US job market shows mixed signals, the ECB cuts rates and Nvidia overtakes Apple's market cap! Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices both reached record intraday highs during the week while small & mid caps pulled back. Growth stocks outpaced value shares by the widest amount since early in the year on the back of falling longer-term interest rates. The start of the week brought some downbeat economic readings (e.g ISM manufacturing below 50.0), which appeared to lead to a return of worries about “stagflation” among some investors. The picture brightened at midweek as the ISM’s services jumped to 53.8 in May, its highest level in nine months. The upside surprise in the official US jobs report on Friday morning didn’t lead to a negative market's reaction as it was tempered by an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.0%, its highest level since January 2022.

Economic shift: US slows, Europe rises, Asia mixed As mid-2024 nears, the US economy shows signs of moderation, Europe gradually recovers, and Asia sees mixed performance with strong Chinese exports and a stabilising outlook in Japan despite a weak yen. Nvidia continues to live up to the hype, GameStop trading mania is back and in a surprising move, the U.S. SEC approved eight applications for spot Ethereum ETFs. Each month, the Syz investment team takes you through the last month in ten charts.

Nvidia’s market cap increased by $450 billion last week, meaning it now exceeds the total DAX index! Commodities continue to outperform the equity and bond markets. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The main US equity indices closed lower over the holiday-shortened week but rounded out a month of gains. In contrast to much of the month, small-caps performed better than large-caps, and value stocks held up better than growth shares. The Nasdaq was especially weak, due in part to a sharp decline in cloud software provider Salesforce, which fell sharply after releasing Q1 revenues that missed consensus estimates. Much of the week’s relatively light economic calendar came in roughly in line with expectations. One prominent factor weighing on sentiment appeared to be the Treasury Department’s midweek auctions of five- and seven-year notes, which were met with subdued demand. The weak sales raised concerns that funding the U.S. deficit will drive up yields at a time when the Fed appears to be in no rush to cut rates.

Following its quarterly results, Nvidia's stock surpassed $1,000 per share. Ether (ETH) saw a significant rise ahead of the anticipated launch of the first spot ETFs and the cost of servicing the US public debt is projected to surpass defence spending. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

After six straight weeks of 'weakness', US Macro Surprise data surged higher this week. But good (macro) news is not necessarily good news for markets. After four straight weeks of gains, The Dow suffered its worst week since March 2023. The Russell 2000 also saw its first weekly loss in the last five. The Nasdaq sharply outperformed on the week (hitting a new record) while the S&P managed to rally on Friday to get green for the week. Hawkish Fed Minutes spooked stocks midweek but NVDA's earnings saved the tech-heavy indices. After beating earnings consensus estimates, NVIDIA shares rose 9.3% on Thursday, adding roughly USD 220 billion to its market capitalization. The good news for NVIDIA did not translate into broader gains for the market.

The Dow Jones hits the 40,000-point milestone for the first time ever, China offloads a record amount of US debt in Q1, and the copper market experiences significant disruptions. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

1 2 3 4 5

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks