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Nvidia's market capitalisation possibly overtaking the Nikkei index, investors back the Magnificent 7, and global easing accelerates. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
US equities recorded another week of gains. Banks were big winners this week while Energy stocks pulled back in sympathy with oil prices, which retreated as fears of possible Israeli attacks on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure subsided. The small-cap Russell 2000 Index and the S&P MidCap 400 Index outperformed large-caps. After lagging for much of the week, the Nasdaq Composite rallied during Friday’s trading session. Strong quarterly results from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing boosted AI-related stocks. The Nasdaq also received a lift from Netflix, which grew its subscriber numbers and expanded its operating margins by more than expected in the third quarter. On the Macro side, US retail sales and weekly jobless claims surprised positively while industrial production dropped 0.3% in September after increasing 0.3% in the preceding month.
The S&P 500 is set to deliver its best performance of the 21st century, even as September inflation in the U.S. jumps unexpectedly. Meanwhile, debit interest rates soar past 23%, adding pressure to consumers. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
The S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones both moved to record highs over the week, helped by some upside surprises to kick off earnings season. Shares in JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo rose on Friday after they reported smaller-than-feared declines in Q3 profits. A solid rise in NVIDIA shares helped growth stocks outperform value stocks and compensate for a decline in Google parent Alphabet. Tesla was also weak following a skeptical response to the company’s highly anticipated unveiling of its new “robotaxis” and “robovans.” The earnings focus arguably offset several disappointing economic reports over the week: headline and core (less food and energy) inflation rose in September by 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, both a tick above expectations.
Abundant liquidity in the market is supporting gold and stocks and may even lead to a new bear market rally in China, while the Fed's rate cut may have minimal impact on U.S. equities.
Thanks to a rally on Friday, US blue chips stocks recorded a 4th consecutive weekly gain despite growing tensions in the Middle East and the dockworkers’ strike at Eastern seaports. Escalating Middle East tensions sent oil prices to their highest level in about a month, benefiting energy shares. The S&P 500 pulled back sharply (-1.38%) on Tuesday, as Iran fired nearly 200 missiles directly at Israel. While many of the missiles were intercepted, there were several hits in the southern and central parts of the country and threats of “more devastating attacks” if Israel responded. Markets stabilized on Wednesday, however, perhaps because worst-case scenarios failed to materialize.
Between France’s increasing yields and the UK’s colossal debt-to-GDP ratio, Europe is facing difficulties financing itself. Meanwhile, SNB head bows out with a last rate cut and China unveils its massive stimulus plan. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 Index moved to record highs, as investors appeared to celebrate new stimulus measures in China. Chemicals and materials stocks were particularly strong. Copper prices also increased. Tech stocks outperformed as well, helped by reports of a possible takeover of Intel and news that NVIDIA’s CEO had ceased sales of his own shares in the company. In addition, chipmaker Micron Technology surged and seemed to provide a general tailwind for the sector following its upbeat outlook for AI demand. Some benign inflation data helped spur an early rally Friday; the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core (less food and energy) personal consumer expenditures (PCE) price index, rose only 0.1% in August, a tick below expectations.
As the Fed pivot starts with a 50-basis-point slash, the bond market expects more to come, and gold should benefit. Meanwhile, the risk of a second inflationary wave isn’t dismissed, and the Nasdaq 100 is as highly concentrated as ever. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
US large-cap indexes moved to record highs as investors celebrated the kick-off to what many expect to be a prolonged Fed rate-cutting cycle. The rally was also relatively broad, with the smaller-cap indexes outperforming (+9% on the week for the Russell 2000 index), although they remained below previous peaks. The initial reaction to the Fed’s jumbo rate cut was relatively muted. Indeed, investors’ celebration of the news seemed to begin on Thursday morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index, and Nasdaq Composite all surging to new highs. The week’s economic data arguably had an upbeat overall tone, leading critics of the Fed’s decision to argue that policymakers had moved too decisively.
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