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Nvidia’s record $280 billion loss led a sharp decline in the Nasdaq’s “Magnificent 7” amid a slowing U.S. job market and potential market turbulence before the election. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Worries over an economic slowdown appeared to weigh on sentiment as the S&P 500 recorded its worst weekly performance since March 2023 . Tech shares led the declines, driven in part by a drop in NVIDIA following rumors that it may be the subject of a Justice Department antitrust investigation, which led to a roughly USD 300 billion drop in the chip giant’s market capitalization. Energy shares were also especially weak on the back of a decline in oil prices. Conversely, the typically defensive utilities, consumer staples, and real estate sectors held up better. US economic data generally surprised on the downside, raising fears that the Federal Reserve had waited too long to ease monetary policy.

Nvidia shares tumble despite stellar results, a new trillionaire rises, and equity markets brace for their two worst months. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

August was a volatile month with US equities pulling back at the start the month before rallying back to unchanged. Last week, the main US equity indices ended mixed. Trading was light ahead of the US holiday weekend (Labor Day). The Nasdaq Composite fared the worst, dragged lower in part by chip giant NVIDIA, which lost nearly 10% of its value, at the stock’s low point on Thursday. Relatedly, value stocks outperformed growth shares by the largest margin since late July. The US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index showed prices rising by 0.2% in July, largely as expected. This seemed to please investors as it is a confirmation that inflation was remaining subdued and near the Fed’s target.

Gold prices are hitting record highs, US Job Growth Slashed by 818,000, and the S&P 500’s value relative to gold mirrors 1971 levels. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The Dow Jones and S&P 500 Index moved back toward record highs this week, as investors appeared to celebrate Fed Powell’s announcement at Jackson Hall that interest rate cuts would soon be coming. The gains were also broad-based, with small-caps outperforming large-caps and an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 Index outpacing its capitalization-weighted counterpart. However, trading activity was exceptionally light through most of the week. On Friday, stocks jumped at the open of trading following the release of the text of Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, in which he acknowledged that “the time has come for policy to adjust”—implying that policymakers would cut rates in September. Moreover, Powell appeared to leave room for a cut of 50 basis (instead of 25 basis points).

The Fed's monetary policy is increasingly restrictive. Kamala Harris has a 53% chance of winning the 2024 US election, and US oil production has risen 22% over four years, a 250% increase since 2008. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

US equities recorded their best week since 2023, led by a 5%-plus surge in the Nasdaq (which is up 12% from last Monday's lows). Investors appeared to celebrate positive news on both the inflation and growth fronts, which are bolstering hopes that the economy might achieve a “soft landing.” AI chip giant NVIDIA was especially strong, gaining 19% over the week. Growth stocks handily outpaced value shares. Small Caps were lifted by an ongoing short-squeeze. Official economic data suggested that the consumer was holding strong in the face of the cooling labor market. On Thursday, the Commerce Department reported that retail sales surged 1.0% in July, their best showing in 18 months. Consumer price index (CPI) inflation, reported Wednesday, was in line with expectations but also seemed to reassure investors, as the yoy increase in CPI fell below 3.0% for the first time in three years. The US 10-year Treasury yield decreased through most of the week on the benign inflation data but jumped on Thursday following the strong retail sales data. Credit markets rallied hard this week, adjusting back from "hard landing" to "soft landing" scenarios.

The week began in total chaos on Japanese markets as the ‘yen carry trade’ unwound, triggering a sharp rise in US equity volatility. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The major US equity indexes closed modestly lower for the week after recovering from the biggest sell-off in nearly two years. The S&P 500 Index neared correction territory (down over 10% from its peak) on Monday morning while the Nasdaq was down 15.8% from its peak. Even more pronounced were the swings in the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) – the fear gauge - which briefly spiked Monday to 65.7, its highest level since late March 2020, before falling back to end the week at 20.6. A recent increase in Japanese short-term interest rates, albeit modest, seemed to result in a partial unwind in the so-called carry trade. A sharp rise in the yen over the preceding few weeks made the trade unprofitable, causing many investors to pull out of their positions. On the macro side, several major companies reported signs of weakening consumer demand during earnings calls.

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