Major stock indexes finished the week higher, recovering some of the previous week’s losses despite some continuing uncertainty around the incoming Trump administration’s policies and escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Gains for the week were also relatively broad-based, with small caps outperforming large-caps and an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 Index outpacing the main index. Shares of Nvidia ended the week little changed as investors appeared to be generally satisfied with the results, although the guidance for Q4 was lighter than some analysts expected. Solid US economic data sparked a rethink of Fed rate-cut expectations, with the curve now pricing in a 50-50 chance of 2 or 3 cuts by the end of 2025.

US equities gave back a portion of the previous week’s gains, as uncertainty over the incoming administration’s policies appeared to continue driving the so-called Trump Trade. Financials and energy shares continue to benefit from hopes for deregulation and merger approvals. Likewise, the price of Bitcoin had surged by nearly a third since the eve of the election, as investors anticipated looser regulation of digital currencies. Conversely, health care shares fell sharply following news that Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., would be Trump’s nominee to head the Health and Human Services Department (HHS). On the macro side, yoy US headline inflation rose for the 1st time since March, from 2.4% to 2.6%. PPI data came in above expectations.

Most of US equities indices rose to record highs, as investors wagered that a “red sweep” (Republicans winning Presidency, Senate and Congress) would result in faster earnings growth, looser regulations, and lower corporate taxes. The small-cap Russell 2000 Index surged 8.57% for the week but was the sole benchmark to remain out of record territory. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones hit 44.000 for the first time while the S&P 500 closed just shy of 6,000, up 4.7% for the week, its best weekly gain in almost a year. On Thursday, the Fed announced a 25bps rate cut, its first easing move since cutting rates by 50 basis points in mid-September. In terms of economic data, the October ISM services sector activity came in at 56.0, well above expectations and the best reading since August 2022. U.S. Treasuries generated positive returns heading into Friday, as yields largely ended lower than where they ended the previous week.

The Nasdaq Composite reached record intraday highs on Wednesday before falling back sharply on Thursday. Over the week, growth stocks generally lagged value shares. Small-caps also held up much better than large-caps. 42% of the companies in the S&P 500 Index reported their Q3 earnings over the week, including five of the Mag 7. Microsoft and Apple were the biggest losers of the week whereas Amazon and Google gained. On the macro side, the Labor Department reported “essentially unchanged” nonfarm payrolls over the month, with employers adding only 12,000 jobs—the lowest number since December 2020. It included a decline of 44,000 jobs due to the Boeing strike.

The S&P 500 Index finished lower after posting gains in each of the six previous weeks as rising Treasury yields weigh on U.S. stocks. Large-cap stocks held up better than small-caps, and growth stocks outperformed value as the Nasdaq Composite Index gained slightly. Tesla was the best performer in the S&P 500 and led the Magnificent Seven, helping to keep the broad index from a steeper decline. The EV car maker posted better than expected quarterly earnings while Elon Musk projected strong sales growth in 2025. The stock recorded its best daily gain (22%) in more than 11 years on Thursday. Meanwhile, Apple dumped as Wall Street analysts downgraded their views on the stock. In Fixed Income, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed about 10 bps on Monday to 4.20% and stayed around that level for the rest of the week.

US equities recorded another week of gains. Banks were big winners this week while Energy stocks pulled back in sympathy with oil prices, which retreated as fears of possible Israeli attacks on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure subsided. The small-cap Russell 2000 Index and the S&P MidCap 400 Index outperformed large-caps.  After lagging for much of the week, the Nasdaq Composite rallied during Friday’s trading session. Strong quarterly results from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing boosted AI-related stocks. The Nasdaq also received a lift from Netflix, which grew its subscriber numbers and expanded its operating margins by more than expected in the third quarter. On the Macro side, US retail sales and weekly jobless claims surprised positively while industrial production dropped 0.3% in September after increasing 0.3% in the preceding month.

The S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones both moved to record highs over the week, helped by some upside surprises to kick off earnings season. Shares in JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo rose on Friday after they reported smaller-than-feared declines in Q3 profits. A solid rise in NVIDIA shares helped growth stocks outperform value stocks and compensate for a decline in Google parent Alphabet. Tesla was also weak following a skeptical response to the company’s highly anticipated unveiling of its new “robotaxis” and “robovans.” The earnings focus arguably offset several disappointing economic reports over the week: headline and core (less food and energy) inflation rose in September by 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, both a tick above expectations.

Thanks to a rally on Friday, US blue chips stocks recorded a 4th consecutive weekly gain despite growing tensions in the Middle East and the dockworkers’ strike at Eastern seaports. Escalating Middle East tensions sent oil prices to their highest level in about a month, benefiting energy shares. The S&P 500 pulled back sharply (-1.38%) on Tuesday, as Iran fired nearly 200 missiles directly at Israel. While many of the missiles were intercepted, there were several hits in the southern and central parts of the country and threats of “more devastating attacks” if Israel responded. Markets stabilized on Wednesday, however, perhaps because worst-case scenarios failed to materialize.

The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 Index moved to record highs, as investors appeared to celebrate new stimulus measures in China. Chemicals and materials stocks were particularly strong. Copper prices also increased. Tech stocks outperformed as well, helped by reports of a possible takeover of Intel and news that NVIDIA’s CEO had ceased sales of his own shares in the company. In addition, chipmaker Micron Technology surged and seemed to provide a general tailwind for the sector following its upbeat outlook for AI demand. Some benign inflation data helped spur an early rally Friday; the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core (less food and energy) personal consumer expenditures (PCE) price index, rose only 0.1% in August, a tick below expectations.

US large-cap indexes moved to record highs as investors celebrated the kick-off to what many expect to be a prolonged Fed rate-cutting cycle. The rally was also relatively broad, with the smaller-cap indexes outperforming (+9% on the week for the Russell 2000 index), although they remained below previous peaks. The initial reaction to the Fed’s jumbo rate cut was relatively muted. Indeed, investors’ celebration of the news seemed to begin on Thursday morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index, and Nasdaq Composite all surging to new highs. The week’s economic data arguably had an upbeat overall tone, leading critics of the Fed’s decision to argue that policymakers had moved too decisively.