The Fed acknowledges that fiscal dominance has arrived in the US
The 2024 season is coming to an end. What an eventful year it has been: the Magnificent 7 rally, the Bitcoin halving, Tesla's Cybercab reveal, geopolitical tensions and the US election. Here are ten stories to remember.
Below are the top 10 events and surprises that could impact financial markets and the global economy in the New Year. These are not forecasts, but potential macro-economic, geopolitical or market events that are not anticipated by the financial markets. We also try to assess the probability of occurrence (high, medium, low) of each of them.
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The 2024 season is coming to an end. What an eventful year it has been: the Magnificent 7 rally, the Bitcoin halving, Tesla's Cybercab reveal, geopolitical tensions and the US election. Here are ten stories to remember.
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Fed's surprise (very) hawkish stance sends 10-year US Treasury yields soaring above 4.5% - the highest since May 2024 - setting the stage for an uncertain 2025.
U.S. stocks declined during the week, although a rally on Friday helped major indexes recover some of their lost ground. Losses were broad-based, though smaller-cap indexes generally fared worst. The Fed’s rate cut announcement on Wednesday (25bps) was largely expected. However, sentiment turned negative as investors digested hawkish forecasts and commentary from Fed officials regarding the path forward for interest rates. The hawkish tone helped drive the S&P 500 Index lower by nearly 3% for the day, its second-worst day of the year. Political uncertainty in the form of a looming government shutdown also seemed to rattle investor confidence. In economic news, the U.S. Real GDP grew 3.1% in Q3, outpacing a previous estimate of 2.8%, partially owing to increases in consumer spending.
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