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Diverging economic trajectories widen the transatlantic gap, as resilient U.S. growth reshapes Fed policy expectations while Europe grapples with recession risks and deflationary pressures, driving contrasting bond market dynamics.
Bitcoin becomes the 7th largest asset worldwide, meanwhile investors prefer US over EU equities. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
Major stock indexes finished the week higher, recovering some of the previous week’s losses despite some continuing uncertainty around the incoming Trump administration’s policies and escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Gains for the week were also relatively broad-based, with small caps outperforming large-caps and an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 Index outpacing the main index. Shares of Nvidia ended the week little changed as investors appeared to be generally satisfied with the results, although the guidance for Q4 was lighter than some analysts expected. Solid US economic data sparked a rethink of Fed rate-cut expectations, with the curve now pricing in a 50-50 chance of 2 or 3 cuts by the end of 2025.
Bitcoin breaks records as BlackRock’s ETF surges, Trump’s political future takes shape. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
While U.S. Treasury volatility remains elevated, credit spreads show resilience, reflecting market optimism, even as fiscal uncertainties and rising rates weigh on global bond markets.
US equities gave back a portion of the previous week’s gains, as uncertainty over the incoming administration’s policies appeared to continue driving the so-called Trump Trade. Financials and energy shares continue to benefit from hopes for deregulation and merger approvals. Likewise, the price of Bitcoin had surged by nearly a third since the eve of the election, as investors anticipated looser regulation of digital currencies. Conversely, health care shares fell sharply following news that Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., would be Trump’s nominee to head the Health and Human Services Department (HHS). On the macro side, yoy US headline inflation rose for the 1st time since March, from 2.4% to 2.6%. PPI data came in above expectations.
Despite recession concerns, economic growth showed resilience, while equities retreated in October and inflation continued its slow decline. Nuclear energy was poised to power the future of AI, while the market suggested buying "Trump" and selling "Kamala” when referring to U.S. Election bets. Here are 10 charts to review what happened in the markets during October.
Post-election relief in U.S. Treasuries brought temporary calm, but bond markets remain cautious as Trump’s fiscal policies and central bank adjustments hint at potential inflationary pressures and heightened volatility in the months ahead.
Trump’s landslide victory sparks a USD $50 million win for a French bettor, while the S&P 500 sees its biggest surge in two years! Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
Most of US equities indices rose to record highs, as investors wagered that a “red sweep” (Republicans winning Presidency, Senate and Congress) would result in faster earnings growth, looser regulations, and lower corporate taxes. The small-cap Russell 2000 Index surged 8.57% for the week but was the sole benchmark to remain out of record territory. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones hit 44.000 for the first time while the S&P 500 closed just shy of 6,000, up 4.7% for the week, its best weekly gain in almost a year. On Thursday, the Fed announced a 25bps rate cut, its first easing move since cutting rates by 50 basis points in mid-September. In terms of economic data, the October ISM services sector activity came in at 56.0, well above expectations and the best reading since August 2022. U.S. Treasuries generated positive returns heading into Friday, as yields largely ended lower than where they ended the previous week.
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