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18 Nov 2024

In "Major Policy Shift" Biden Authorizes Ukraine's Use Of US Missiles To Hit Targets Inside Russia.

Why is he doing this 2 months before leaving the White house? President Joe Biden’s administration will allow Ukraine to use U.S.-provided weapons to strike deep into Russian territory, three sources familiar with the matter said, in a significant change to Washington’s policy in the Ukraine-Russia conflict. Ukraine plans to conduct its first long-range attacks in the coming days, the sources said, without revealing details due to operational security concerns. The move by the United States two months before President-elect Donald Trump takes office on Jan. 20 follows months of requests by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to allow Ukraine’s military to use U.S. weapons to hit Russian military targets far from its border. Source: CNBC

18 Nov 2024

Donald Trump’s foreign policy team will seek to ratchet up sanctions on Tehran, including vital oil exports, as soon as the president-elect re-enters the White House

https://on.ft.com/48Soa7w Source: FT

14 Nov 2024

🔉 President-elect Donald Trump’s choice of Senator Marco Rubio as his secretary of State

He is arguably the world’s most important diplomat, and could change the dial when it comes to the U.S.′ relationship with both its enemies, and its allies. 🚨 Rubio, considered a foreign policy hawk, has been highly critical of China and Iran, which are considered the hashtag#us′ top economic and geopolitical adversaries. 🦅 Trump’s choice for secretary of state, Marco Rubio, was a key sponsor of 2021 Uighur Forced Labour Prevention Act, which bans the import of all goods from Xinjiang unless companies offer verifiable proof that production did not involve such a violation. 🛢️ Marco Rubio, may intensify oil sanctions on Iran & Venezuela! Analysts note potential pushback from China could soften efforts. ❓ The Florida senator has also been ambivalent about ongoing support for Ukraine, echoing Trump’s stance that the war with Russia must come to an end. 👉 Rubio’s appointment as secretary of state and Trump’s focus on Latin America signals a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy priorities. While ‘America First’ often means pulling back globally, Latin America might indeed be an exception due to historic ties and regional security concerns. Source: CNBC

12 Nov 2024

Republicans officially retain control of the U.S. House, giving the GOP a Trifecta; Control of both chambers of Congress and the Presidency.

The Republicans have won control of the U.S. House of Representatives after the party took 218 seats in national elections, according to a Decision Desk HQ projection on NewsNation. Source: @america

11 Nov 2024

The US election doesn't change geopolitical truths facing the EU:

(i) China and Russia are allies - China is Putin's biggest enabler; (ii) the EU depends on the US for military protection, the US does NOT in any way depend on the EU. Strategic autonomy is a dangerous illusion... Source: Robin Brooks

7 Nov 2024

Trump win over Harris in one map

Source: Michel A.Arouet

6 Nov 2024

When Previous Presidential Election Results Were Called

Source: DeItaone (@*Walter Bloomberg)

5 Nov 2024

Goldman has some potential reaction functions:

* Trump w/ Republican Sweep = 25% probability; S&P +3% * Trump w/ Divided Government = 30% probability; S&P +1.5% " Harris w/ Democratic Sweep = 5% probability; S&P -3% * Harris w/ Divided Government = 40% probability; S&P -1.5% Source: Carl Quintanilla on X, Goldman Sachs

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