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15 Oct 2024

Washington Post: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has told the Biden administration he is willing to strike military rather than oil or nuclear facilities in Iran.

Oil gaps down on the new 👇 Source: Markets & Mayhem

14 Oct 2024

The left is losing its grip on ethnic minority voters.

Here's why politicians of all stripes would be wise to start listening to what different ethnic minority voters actually want https://on.ft.com/3U3JEIB

11 Oct 2024

Trump is leading Kamala by 9.4% on Polymarket, the widest gap since Biden dropped out.

Trump is even leading in Wisconsin and Michigan. 26 days remain. Source: Joe Consorti, Polymarket

10 Oct 2024

It's not just online betting markets:

Goldman's "Republican Victory" basket surged today and has taken the lead over "Democrat Victory" for the first time since the debate. Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

8 Oct 2024

BREAKING: Polymarket’s prediction markets now show Donald Trump nearly 9 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris.

This is nearly his largest lead since Kamala Harris entered the election. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X

4 Oct 2024

33 days away from election day, it looks like the markets see Republican Vance as the clear winner of the VP debate Vance/Walz.

The GS Republican policy pair depot has risen significantly, while the GS Democrat policy pair depot has fallen recently. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

2 Oct 2024

NEARLY 200 MISSILES WERE LAUNCHED INTO ISRAEL FROM IRAN, ISRAELI ARMY RADIO SAYS

ISRAELI OFFICIAL SAYS RESPONSE TOWARDS IRAN ‘WILL BE HARSH’: KANN Bomb alarm sirens across the entire country (map). Oil spikes +4% Gold +1% VIX skyrockets +20% S&P 500 down 0.9% Source: Global Markets Investor on X

2 Oct 2024

According to Polymarket, probability of having an Israel military response against Iran by Friday is <50% as of writin

Source: Polymarket, C.Barraud

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