Syz the moment

Shehbaz Sharif said both sides have declared the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, adding that the signing ceremony would take place in Switzerland. “Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED,” he said on X. “With the agreement now in place, mediators will facilitate a series of meetings this week. These pre-implementation discussions will lay the foundation for the technical talks and the official signing ceremony.” Source: FT

- Oil is tumbling, as the Hormuz Risk Premium unwinds. Oil fell to its lowest level since March - Nikkei 225 surges and hit 69,000 for the 1st time ever - Nasdaq futures are up +1.8% - Precious metals and cryptos soar - US 10 year yield drops 5bps to 4.42%

Deal pretty much wrapped up' sparking a plunge in oil (ignoring denials), spike in stocks, and big drop in yields (shrugging off hot headline PPI and ECB rate-hikes). CNN reports that this is the 38th time that President Trump has declared a peace deal is imminent... Source: zerohedge

"At some point in the not too distant future, we will be taking Kharg Island, and other oil infrastructure points, and assume total control of their Oil and Gas Markets, much like we have with Venezuela" Markets do not seem to care anymore...

Canada, Mexico, the EU, Taiwan, and the UK would face a 10% tariff. China, India, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Switzerland, and other major economies would face a 12.5% tariff. The tariffs are not immediate. Written comments are due July 6, with public hearings starting July 7, so the final rules could still change before implementation. Source: Wall St Engine

A proposed geopolitical framework reportedly backed by Donald Trump would require nine Middle Eastern nations to simultaneously sign or support the Abraham Accords, with no exceptions allowed. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Pakistan, Türkiye, Egypt, and Jordan would all need to formally normalize relations with Israel, while the UAE and Bahrain would reinforce the coalition as existing members. Iran was reportedly offered the possibility to join under the condition of recognizing Israel, otherwise remaining isolated and in conflict. The proposal emphasizes that the agreement must happen collectively or fail entirely. Supporters see it as an attempt to reshape regional alliances, while critics view it as highly unrealistic given current tensions and political divisions. Source: Roland Carter

He has called off a planned military attack on Iran that was scheduled for tomorrow after the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE personally asked him to pause, telling him a deal is within reach. Trump has ordered the military to be ready to launch a full scale attack on a moment's notice if an acceptable deal is not reached and The deal must include no nuclear weapons for Iran. Source: Bull Theory

The scheme never got off the ground, according to insurance brokers, as it did not fulfil all the requirements needed for ships transiting the strait and was tied to a US naval escort for vessels, which has not been established. Source: Alexander Stahel on X, FT