Why the S&P is up past two weeks
Source: Nomura thru zerohedge
Historical asset bubble summary from BofA, including the current Mag7 frothiness.
”History shows only central banks end melt-ups”… Source: BofA, Wasteland Capital
With their massive market caps and impressive price appreciation, the Magnificent7 stocks have played a crucial role in driving the S&P 500 index’s performance.
Without them, S&P 500 returns since December 2022 would be much closer to average, still good, mind you, but more average. 🤣 @ISABELNET_SA thru Lance Roberts on X
🏇 The race to $4 Trillion...
Apple $AAPL $3,369,000,000,000 NVIDIA $NVDA $3,320,000,000,000 Microsoft $MSFT $3,051,000,000,000 Who will be the first to hit $4 trillion market cap? Source: Trendspider
😱 The shocking chart of the day >>> Mag 7 political donations....one of these is not like the others...😱
Source: Meb Faber on X
S&P 500 VALUATION IS IN LINE WITH THE 2000 DOT-COM BUBBLE PEAK
S&P 500 Price to Book (assets minus liabilities) ratio is now 5.2x, the most on record and in line with the 2000 Dot-Com bubble burst. When excluding the Magnificent 7 group, the P/B ratio is 4.2x, near a record. Source: Global Markets Investor
🔥LONG MAGNIFICENT 7 IS THE MOST CROWDED TRADE ACCORDING TO GLOBAL INVESTORS🔥
43% of global investors* believe Long Magnificent 7 is the most crowded trade, down from ~54% in August. Has the trade become overcrowded? *BofA survey of 195 participants with $503 billion assets. Source: Global Markets Investor
😱 The shocking chart of the day >>> S&P 500 COMPANIES EARNINGS GROWTH DOES NOT EXIST WITHOUT MAGNIFICENT 7😱
In 5 out of the last 6 quarters, the S&P 500 excluding Magnificent 7 profit growth has been negative. It is estimated the Mag 7 net income will grow by 18% in Q3 2024 while the other 493 firms by 1%. Note however 2 changes in trend: 1) The Mag 7 eps growth is slowing down (from a high base); The non-Mag 7 EPS growth is picking up (and turning slightly positive) from a low base. Sometimes the second derivative is more important than the absolute number. Time will tell... Source: The Global Markets Investor
