CEOs' economic outlook is surging
America's top executives are strikingly more confident about the economy, with expectations of stronger sales and capital investments. For the first time in two years, the Business Roundtable's quarterly gauge of CEO sentiment is above its historical average. By the numbers: The lobbying group's index jumped by 11 points in the first quarter to 85 — topping the long-running average by 2 points. source : axios
According to latest Fund Manager Survey by BofA, nobody is expecting higher inflation
Source: TME
Stock Market Extreme Greed Approaching.....
source : cnnsentiment
Smart money is extremely bearish
Source: Game of Trades
Sentiment and overly bullish positioning remain short-term hurdles for the stock market
Too positive
Yesterday's big correction took place just at the time the Fear & Greed Index hits 80, Extreme Greed, for the first time since July 27th
July 27th also happens to be the day when the S&P 500 topped and fell ~6% in 3 weeks. However, the decline was driven by a more hawkish than expected Fed outcome. Now, the rally is being driven by what appears to be a "Fed pivot." Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The average market strategist's 2024E S&P 500 target is 4837 with EPS of $237 for a return of 2.5% (excluding dividends) and a P/E of 20.4
Source: Julian Klymochko
2024 is expected to be a year of interest rate cuts
Here's what's currently priced in markets of who does what when. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
