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Ayatollah Khamenei plans to flee to Moscow if Iran unrest intensifies
The report says the plan is limited to a tight inner circle with assets already positioned abroad and is modeled in part on Bashar al-Assad’s escape to Russia. It reflects growing concern over Khamenei’s health, his isolation during recent protests, and fears that economic strain and public anger could fracture loyalty inside the security apparatus. Source: Open Source Intel @Osint613
The midterm election year is without question the worst year in the four-year election cycle.
Source: Connor Bates
The most important Supreme Court decision you haven’t heard about is coming in January ⚖️
And it could trigger a massive downside risk to current tariff rates. 📉 Goldman’s latest insight suggests the "tariff era" as we know it is about to hit a major legal wall. Here is the breakdown: The Core Issue: The Supreme Court is currently reviewing the IEEPA (International Emergency Economic Powers Act). This is the "emergency" authority used to hike tariffs this year. The Likely Verdict: Oral arguments suggest a majority of Justices believe the administration exceeded its authority. What happens next? 1. The "Big Reset": If the court rules against all IEEPA tariffs, it wipes out 7.5 percentage points of the 11.4pp increase we’ve seen this year. That is a massive shift for global trade. 2. The "Specific" Limit: The court might allow tariffs for specific emergencies, but kill the idea of broad "reciprocal" tariffs. The Bottom Line: The risk to tariff rates is firmly to the downside. Even if the administration pivots to "Section 122" as a backup, rates would likely be capped at 15%. The result? A potential 1.6pp drop in the effective tariff rate almost overnight. So keep an eye on the SCOTUS docket. But let's also keep in mind that Trump administration have already prepared to retaliate. Tariffs are more about the HOW they will be implemented rather than the IF Source: Neil Sheti, Goldman
Democrats surge in midterm odds. 80% chance they take the House.
Source: Polymarket Polymarket
We have a deal!
Among the $200B Swiss investment pledges, the US representative cites pharmaceuticals, the gold industry, and even the railway sector.
The 🇺🇸 Senate just passed a bill to fund the government and end the longest shutdown in U.S. history
The bill which passed 60-40 will now be sent to the House of Representatives ... If it passes in both chambers of Congress, it will head to President Donald Trump to be signed into law - CNBC, Evan
🌍 G7 vs BRICS: The Global Power Shift Is On ⚖️
1️⃣ 💰 Debt: G7’s debt-to-GDP is 120%+, while BRICS sits around 60% — more fiscal freedom, less dependence on borrowing. 2️⃣ 👶 Demographics: G7 is aging fast, but BRICS nations enjoy a younger, growing workforce driving productivity and innovation. 3️⃣ ⚡ Energy Advantage: BRICS benefits from lower energy costs — a huge edge as AI ⚙️ and data centers drive up global power demand. 4️⃣ 📊 Fiscal Models: G7 relies on asset inflation & deficits to sustain wealth, while BRICS focuses on real income, production, and investment. 5️⃣ 🌏 Economic Gravity: At PPP, BRICS’ share of global GDP is set to surpass G7, shifting the world’s economic center eastward. 6️⃣ 🏅 Monetary Resilience: BRICS is exploring gold-backed systems and private gold ownership — a hedge against the West’s paper-asset dependence. 💡 Bottom line: The future of growth, energy, and real wealth is tilting east — and the world order is quietly being rewritten. ✨ Source : The Economist
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