It's not just online betting markets:
Goldman's "Republican Victory" basket surged today and has taken the lead over "Democrat Victory" for the first time since the debate. Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
BREAKING: Polymarket’s prediction markets now show Donald Trump nearly 9 percentage points ahead of Kamala Harris.
This is nearly his largest lead since Kamala Harris entered the election. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X
33 days away from election day, it looks like the markets see Republican Vance as the clear winner of the VP debate Vance/Walz.
The GS Republican policy pair depot has risen significantly, while the GS Democrat policy pair depot has fallen recently. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
NEARLY 200 MISSILES WERE LAUNCHED INTO ISRAEL FROM IRAN, ISRAELI ARMY RADIO SAYS
ISRAELI OFFICIAL SAYS RESPONSE TOWARDS IRAN ‘WILL BE HARSH’: KANN Bomb alarm sirens across the entire country (map). Oil spikes +4% Gold +1% VIX skyrockets +20% S&P 500 down 0.9% Source: Global Markets Investor on X
According to Polymarket, probability of having an Israel military response against Iran by Friday is <50% as of writin
Source: Polymarket, C.Barraud
BREAKING: Multiple shots were fired in the vicinity of Donald Trump as he was golfing at the Trump National Golf Club in West Palm Beach
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US Presidential debate: Not all topics have been tackled...
Nothing about government spending. Nothing about national debt. Nothing about taxes. Meanwhile, the US debt clock is ticking... Source: Kurt Altrichter on X
Harris is tonight's winner based on betting markets
Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
