Syz the moment

The U.S. is sitting on a $1 TRILLION "hidden" asset that almost nobody is talking about. 🤫 Forget QE. Forget interest rate cuts. There is a lever the Treasury could pull that would inject massive liquidity into the system without issuing a single new bond. Here is the "Invisible Math" that could change everything: 1. The Accounting Time Warp 🕰️ The U.S. Treasury owns 261.5 million ounces of gold. On the official books, it’s valued at just $42.22 per ounce—a price frozen in 1973. Official Book Value: ~$11 Billion Real Market Value (at ~$4,500/oz): ~$1.17 Trillion 2. The $1.1 Trillion Gap 🕳️ While most countries value their gold at market prices, the U.S. is sitting on a massive unrealized gain. This isn't just a fun fact—it’s a strategic bazooka. 3. Why this matters NOW ⚠️ With U.S. debt crossing $37 trillion and interest costs exploding, the government is running out of moves: Raising taxes? Politically impossible. Cutting spending? Unrealistic. More debt? Pushes yields into the danger zone. 4. The "Stealth Liquidity" Play 🚀 If the U.S. revalues that gold to market prices, it instantly creates over $1 trillion in balance sheet capacity. No bonds, no debt—just "unlocked" value. What happens to your portfolio? Gold: Skyrockets, as it’s the primary asset being repriced. Risk Assets: Follow suit as "stealth liquidity" enters the system. Bitcoin: Becomes the ultimate signal. Gold revaluation is an admission that fiat purchasing power has eroded. Bitcoin is the only major asset that sits entirely outside that system. Will the US decides to revalue their gold holdings in 2026??? 🧐 Source: Bull Theory on X

Indeed, the German economy is increasingly K-shaped: stock markets are rising, while consumer confidence is in free fall. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

*JAPAN NOV. CORE CPI RISES 3.0% Y/Y; EST. +3.0% *US NOV. CORE CPI RISES 2.6% Y/Y; EST. +3.0% This is the first time since 1977 that Japan has a higher inflation rate than the US. (Japan includes taxes in its inflation measure. The US does not.) Source: Jim Bianco

CPI: 2.7% vs. 3.1% expected (3.0% previous) Core CPI: 2.6% vs. 3.0% expected (3.0% previous) This shows inflation is cooling down. FED now has more room for rate cuts and monetary easing. JANUARY RATE-CUT ODDS EDGE HIGHER November CPI undershot expectations, with headline inflation at 2.7% YoY and core CPI slowing to 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021. Markets are reacting modestly. Kalshi pricing shows the probability of a 25 bp Fed cut in January pushing higher, though a hold remains the base case. The data supports the easing trend, but January still appears borderline for action. Source: *Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone

Last night, President Trump took to the airwaves for a primetime address that has everyone talking. Whether you agree with the strategy or not, there are some massive leadership lessons—and market-shifting announcements—we can’t ignore. Here is the breakdown of the "Second Term Revitalization" speech: 🚀 The Big Economic Bet: Trump is doubling down on tariffs as the engine for a "boom the likes of which the world has never seen." Despite a 3% CPI, the administration is betting on a radical shift in domestic investment. 📉 The Interest Rate Pivot: A new Federal Reserve Chair is coming. The criteria? Someone who believes in lowering rates "by a lot." This is a clear signal to the markets: the administration wants borrowing costs and mortgage payments down, now. 🎖️ The "Warrior Dividend": In a move to honor the upcoming 250th anniversary of the USA, Trump announced a $1,776 bonus for military members. A strategic play to shore up support within the ranks. 💊 Healthcare & Disruptive Innovation: Rejecting the extension of current subsidies, the plan is now direct-to-consumer. "I want the money to go directly to the people." It’s a bold move toward a market-driven healthcare model. The Reality Check: The address comes at a high-stakes moment. With a 54% disapproval rating and internal White House friction making headlines, the "rushed and combative" tone of the speech shows a leader under immense pressure to deliver results—fast. Leadership isn’t just about the vision; it’s about the execution. The world is watching to see if these "Grand Slams" translate into relief for the American household. Source: FT

The AI/Datacenter effect is clearly visible. It matched CPI until the last 5 years and is getting worse. Will consumers start to revolt? Source: JPAM, RBC

The Cold Hard Numbers: 9 Million+ US borrowers have officially missed payments. The sudden spike? It’s a year-long backlog of "shadow delinquencies" finally hitting credit reports after the credit-reporting ban expired. The Gamble: Millions strategically skipped payments, betting on forgiveness or prioritizing other spending because there was ZERO penalty. That period of consequence-free non-payment? It's over. 💸 The Economic Fallout (Why You Should Care): This isn't just a personal finance problem; it's an economic headwind that will ripple across sectors: Credit Score Devastation: Delinquencies are officially reporting. We are seeing reports of credit scores dropping by 100-170+ points overnight for once-prime borrowers. The Housing Market Freeze: A crashed credit score means no mortgage, no favorable car loan, and dramatically higher interest rates on everything else. This pulls a massive layer of demand out of the housing and auto markets—right when they need it most. The Consumer Spending Drain: As millions of Americans are forced to scramble, pay down old interest, and fix their credit, that cash is being pulled directly from the "fun" economy: restaurants, travel, and retail. It's a sudden, powerful brake on consumer growth. Source: FT, StockMarket.news

AI data centers aren’t cutting it. Source: Geiger Capital FRED