Active large-cap equity managers are struggling to keep pace with a technology-led market rally, with only 20.5% outperforming the S&P 500 this year.
Source: Bloomberg, The Daily Shot
Breaking: Hyperscaler Bond Issuance Soars
In 4+ months in 2026 it is already more than in 2025, and several times more than the average of previous years. Their Free Cash Flow is dropping to 0. -> They must sell stocks, or slow down AI CAPEX. Source: BraVoCycles Newsletter
Any retail investor who bought Cerebras after the IPO got decimated.
What about SpaceX?
Stock returns since IPO
Source: Stocks World
Asset class total returns since 2011
Winners: Commodities +30.7%; Convertibles +18.7%; Nasdaq 100 +14.9%; US Small Caps +12.8% Losers: IG bonds 0%; Gold 0%; US Total bonds markets 0%; Long duration Treasuries -0.6%; Bitcoin -30.3% Source: Charlie Bilello
Just for reference the market cap of the entire stock markets
• UK: ~$3.94 trillion • France: ~$3.45 trillion • Germany: ~$3.04 trillion Europe is becoming really poor. Source: Michel A.Arouet
Trafigura just made $4.1 billion in 6 months.
That's more than its entire 2025 full year. October-December 2025 was the 2nd-best quarter in company history and the war hadn't even fully started yet. For context: → Trafigura full-year 2025 profit: $2.7 billion → Trafigura H1 2026 profit: $4.1 billion → Time elapsed: 6 months Source: Jack Prandelli on X
The S&P 500 just said today that it will NOT be changing its inclusion rules to let SpaceX and other mega cap companies enter the index earlier
SpaceX will have to wait at least 1 year to get added to the S&P 500. Indeed, the S&P just announced they will NOT change eligibility requirements to 'fast track' index inclusion for megacap stocks such as the upcoming SpaceX or Anthropic IPOs. Looks like $SPCX will just have to settle for joining the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ Source: Evan, LuxAlgo
