July has been nothing but brutal to chip and memory stocks
Source: TrendSpider
Nasdaq 100 Equal-Weight eyes historic divergence. Equal-weighted tech heads for worst month ever relative to S&P 500 Equal-Weight.
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Per Charles Schwab: Weird times for the Tech sector.
On average (so far) this earnings season, a Tech stock that beats EPS estimates is underperforming the S&P 500 by 3.3% the day of/after reporting. Source: Charles Schwab, RBC
NDR's latest assessment suggests the market may be underestimating the risk of a near-term Fed rate hike.
Their view is that several Fed governors remain concerned about inflation and are reluctant to ease policy too soon, fearing it could undermine the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility. In other words, preserving credibility may take priority over delivering the rate cuts markets are expecting. Source: NDR
Hedge funds face demands to stump up collateral as AI stocks tumble
FT Exclusive: Wall Street banks have asked funds heavily concentrated in certain industries to provide additional collateral, highlighting the mounting fears about the scale of losses across several popular strategies Wall Street banks have demanded more collateral from hedge funds in recent weeks as a rout in AI stocks accelerates and triggers heavy losses across several popular strategies. Banks asked funds whose holdings are heavily concentrated in certain industries to provide additional collateral to keep their existing levels of leverage, according to four people familiar with the matter. The collateral demands highlight the mounting fears on Wall Street about the scale and speed of the sell-off in AI stocks over the past fortnight, which has upended a rally in a sector favoured by many funds. Source: Financial Times
A record amount of IPOs in 2026 as the billionaires rush to cash out.
Source: Financelot
The three forces driving the market
Oil continues to dominate the macro narrative, but beneath the surface several other themes are gaining importance. AI financing is becoming a growing concern for credit markets, rate expectations are shifting higher, technicals across semiconductors continue to weaken, while an oversold setup and favorable seasonality suggest a short-term bounce in Nasdaq cannot be ruled out. Source: TME
Yesterday was a terrible day for Mag7 stocks, down almost 5% on the back of GOOGL's plunge (the Mag7 stocks lost almost $800 Billion in market cap on a single day).
This was the worst day for Mag7 since April '25 (Liberation Day) and the basket index broke below all its major moving averages. What's remarkable is that despite that decline, the semis (SOXX) are basically unchanged. Source: zerohedge, Finviz
