---
title: Syz The Moment | markets (8)
description: markets | Syz The Moment (8)
---

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## Straight from the Desk

# **Syz** the moment

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- [All](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment)
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- [Weekly Equities](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/weekly-equities)

Show more

25 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-u.s.-treasury-may-have-found-a-new-weapon-for-the-bond-market-its-nearly-1-trillion-cash-pile&text=The%20U.S.%20Treasury%20may%20have%20found%20a%20new%20weapon%20for%20the%20bond%20market:%20its%20nearly%20$1%20TRILLION%20cash%20pile.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-u.s.-treasury-may-have-found-a-new-weapon-for-the-bond-market-its-nearly-1-trillion-cash-pile&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787584250415.jpg&title=The%20U.S.%20Treasury%20may%20have%20found%20a%20new%20weapon%20for%20the%20bond%20market:%20its%20nearly%20$1%20TRILLION%20cash%20pile.&summary=Treasury%20is%20considering%20using%20its%20TGA%20—%20effectively%20the%20government’s%20bank%20account%20at%20the%20Fed%20—%20to%20fund%20long-term%20bond%20buybacks.%20The%20mechanics%20are%20powerful:%20Buy%20long-duration%20Treasuries%20→%20TGA%20falls%20→%20cash%20enters%20the%20banking%20system%20→%20liquidity%20rises%20→%20long-end%20supply%20falls.%20Treasury%20could%20therefore%20support%20bonds%20today,%20then%20issue%20T-bills%20later%20to%20rebuild%20its%20cash%20balance.%20This%20is%20not%20QE:%20the%20Fed%20isn’t%20printing%20new%20money.%20But%20the%20timing%20matters.%20Effectively,%20Treasury%20can%20temporarily%20transform:%20Long-duration%20debt%20→%20short-duration%20debt%20That%20could%20suppress%20long-end%20pressure%20while%20injecting%20liquidity%20into%20markets.%20But%20it%20doesn’t%20solve%20America’s%20debt%20problem.%20It%20postpones%20it,%20shortens%20it%20—%20and%20potentially%20takes%20the%20U.S.%20another%20step%20toward%20fiscal%20dominance%20and%20financial%20repression.%20Source:%20Macro%20Liquidity%20by%20Sunil%20Reddy&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-u.s.-treasury-may-have-found-a-new-weapon-for-the-bond-market-its-nearly-1-trillion-cash-pile>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-u.s.-treasury-may-have-found-a-new-weapon-for-the-bond-market-its-nearly-1-trillion-cash-pile>

#### The U.S. Treasury may have found a new weapon for the bond market: its nearly $1 TRILLION cash pile.

Treasury is considering using its TGA — effectively the government’s bank account at the Fed — to fund long-term bond buybacks. The mechanics are powerful: Buy long-duration Treasuries → TGA falls → cash enters the banking system → liquidity rises → long-end supply falls. Treasury could therefore support bonds today, then issue T-bills later to rebuild its cash balance. This is not QE: the Fed isn’t printing new money. But the timing matters. Effectively, Treasury can temporarily transform: Long-duration debt → short-duration debt That could suppress long-end pressure while injecting liquidity into markets. But it doesn’t solve America’s debt problem. It postpones it, shortens it — and potentially takes the U.S. another step toward fiscal dominance and financial repression. Source: Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

[#Fixed Income|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/fixed-income) [#markets](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets)

![The U.S. Treasury may have found a new weapon for the bond market: its nearly $1 TRILLION cash pile.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787584250415.jpg)

![The U.S. Treasury may have found a new weapon for the bond market: its nearly $1 TRILLION cash pile.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787584250415.jpg)

25 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-cds-eruption-continues-broadcom-cds-up-5bps-to-a-new-all-time-high-nvda-also-at-record-wide-every-single-day-now&text=The%20CDS%20eruption%20continues:%20Broadcom%20CDS%20up%205bps%20to%20a%20new%20all%20time%20high,%20NVDA%20also%20at%20record%20wide%20every%20single%20day%20now.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-cds-eruption-continues-broadcom-cds-up-5bps-to-a-new-all-time-high-nvda-also-at-record-wide-every-single-day-now&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787637415902.jpg&title=The%20CDS%20eruption%20continues:%20Broadcom%20CDS%20up%205bps%20to%20a%20new%20all%20time%20high,%20NVDA%20also%20at%20record%20wide%20every%20single%20day%20now.&summary=Source:%20zerohedge&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-cds-eruption-continues-broadcom-cds-up-5bps-to-a-new-all-time-high-nvda-also-at-record-wide-every-single-day-now>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/the-cds-eruption-continues-broadcom-cds-up-5bps-to-a-new-all-time-high-nvda-also-at-record-wide-every-single-day-now>

#### The CDS eruption continues: Broadcom CDS up 5bps to a new all time high, NVDA also at record wide every single day now.

Source: zerohedge

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#equities](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/equities)

![The CDS eruption continues: Broadcom CDS up 5bps to a new all time high, NVDA also at record wide every single day now.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787637415902.jpg)

![The CDS eruption continues: Broadcom CDS up 5bps to a new all time high, NVDA also at record wide every single day now.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787637415902.jpg)

25 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/markets-are-starting-to-show-how-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-is-reshaping-global-oil-flows&text=Markets%20are%20starting%20to%20show%20how%20the%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz%20crisis%20is%20reshaping%20global%20oil%20flows.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/markets-are-starting-to-show-how-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-is-reshaping-global-oil-flows&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787641205845.jpg&title=Markets%20are%20starting%20to%20show%20how%20the%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz%20crisis%20is%20reshaping%20global%20oil%20flows.&summary=The%20key%20signal%20is%20not%20just%20fewer%20barrels%20moving%20through%20the%20region.%20It%20is%20where%20those%20barrels%20are%20now%20showing%20up.%20Ports%20like%20Fujairah%20and%20Sohar,%20both%20located%20outside%20the%20Strait,%20are%20seeing%20a%20surge%20in%20crude%20departures.%20That%20suggests%20they%20are%20increasingly%20acting%20as%20bypass%20routes,%20transshipment%20points,%20and%20ship-to-ship%20transfer%20hubs%20for%20oil%20that%20would%20normally%20have%20taken%20a%20more%20direct%20path%20through%20Hormuz.%20Importantly,%20this%20does%20not%20mean%20the%20UAE%20or%20Oman%20suddenly%20produced%20far%20more%20oil.%20It%20may%20also%20hint%20at%20rising%20“dark”%20vessel%20activity.%20When%20AIS%20signals%20are%20limited%20or%20interrupted,%20voyage%20tracking%20becomes%20harder,%20and%20cargoes%20can%20effectively%20“reappear”%20outside%20Hormuz.%20So%20the%20disruption%20is%20no%20longer%20visible%20only%20in%20oil%20prices%20and%20tanker%20rates.%20It%20is%20now%20visible%20in%20the%20geography%20—%20and%20the%20opacity%20—%20of%20the%20physical%20oil%20market%20itself.%20Source:%20Michael%20McDonough%20DST&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/markets-are-starting-to-show-how-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-is-reshaping-global-oil-flows>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/markets-are-starting-to-show-how-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-is-reshaping-global-oil-flows>

#### Markets are starting to show how the Strait of Hormuz crisis is reshaping global oil flows.

The key signal is not just fewer barrels moving through the region. It is where those barrels are now showing up. Ports like Fujairah and Sohar, both located outside the Strait, are seeing a surge in crude departures. That suggests they are increasingly acting as bypass routes, transshipment points, and ship-to-ship transfer hubs for oil that would normally have taken a more direct path through Hormuz. Importantly, this does not mean the UAE or Oman suddenly produced far more oil. It may also hint at rising “dark” vessel activity. When AIS signals are limited or interrupted, voyage tracking becomes harder, and cargoes can effectively “reappear” outside Hormuz. So the disruption is no longer visible only in oil prices and tanker rates. It is now visible in the geography — and the opacity — of the physical oil market itself. Source: Michael McDonough DST

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#oil](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/oil)

![Markets are starting to show how the Strait of Hormuz crisis is reshaping global oil flows.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787641205845.jpg)

![Markets are starting to show how the Strait of Hormuz crisis is reshaping global oil flows.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787641205845.jpg)

25 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nomura-has-a-chip-shortage-index&text=Nomura%20has%20a%20chip%20shortage%20index>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nomura-has-a-chip-shortage-index&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787639910552.jpg&title=Nomura%20has%20a%20chip%20shortage%20index&summary=Source:%20Nomura&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nomura-has-a-chip-shortage-index>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nomura-has-a-chip-shortage-index>

#### Nomura has a chip shortage index

Source: Nomura

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#Technology](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/technology)

![Nomura has a chip shortage index](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787639910552.jpg)

![Nomura has a chip shortage index](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787639910552.jpg)

25 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/this-is-something-you-dont-see-every-day-a-severe-negative-correlation-between-high-beta-stocks-and-low-volatility-stocks&text=This%20is%20something%20you%20don>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/this-is-something-you-dont-see-every-day-a-severe-negative-correlation-between-high-beta-stocks-and-low-volatility-stocks&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787635898967.jpg&title=This%20is%20something%20you%20don>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/this-is-something-you-dont-see-every-day-a-severe-negative-correlation-between-high-beta-stocks-and-low-volatility-stocks>

#### This is something you don't see every day: a severe negative correlation between High Beta stocks and Low Volatility stocks.

At -0.52, the 45-day correlation between these groups is the lowest on record. Source: Jeff Weniger

[#Food for Thought|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/food-for-thought) [#markets](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets)

![This is something you don't see every day: a severe negative correlation between High Beta stocks and Low Volatility stocks.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787635898967.jpg)

![This is something you don't see every day: a severe negative correlation between High Beta stocks and Low Volatility stocks.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787635898967.jpg)

24 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-highlighted-by-gs-investors-are-quietly-rotating-capital-towards-the-unloved-corners-of-the-market-hard-asset-exposure-and-ex-ai-equity-trades&text=As%20highlighted%20by%20GS,%20investors%20are%20quietly%20rotating%20capital%20towards%20the%20“unloved”%20corners%20of%20the%20market:%20hard-asset%20exposure%20and%20ex-AI%20equity%20trades.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-highlighted-by-gs-investors-are-quietly-rotating-capital-towards-the-unloved-corners-of-the-market-hard-asset-exposure-and-ex-ai-equity-trades&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787479532843.jpg&title=As%20highlighted%20by%20GS,%20investors%20are%20quietly%20rotating%20capital%20towards%20the%20“unloved”%20corners%20of%20the%20market:%20hard-asset%20exposure%20and%20ex-AI%20equity%20trades.&summary=The%20AI%20trade%20is%20not%20dead%20-%20but%20its%20composition,%20its%20momentum%20profile,%20and%20its%20margin%20of%20safety%20are%20all%20being%20rewritten%20in%20real%20time.%20The%20good%20news:%20there%20are%20plenty%20ways%20to%20diversify.%20As%20shown%20on%20the%20chart%20below,%20the%20broader%20market%20ex%20AI%20(SPXXAI)%20is%20now%20very%20negatively%20correlated%20with%20AI,%20making%20a%20strong%20case%20for%20‘broadening’%20exposure.%20Source:%20zerohedge,%20GS&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-highlighted-by-gs-investors-are-quietly-rotating-capital-towards-the-unloved-corners-of-the-market-hard-asset-exposure-and-ex-ai-equity-trades>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-highlighted-by-gs-investors-are-quietly-rotating-capital-towards-the-unloved-corners-of-the-market-hard-asset-exposure-and-ex-ai-equity-trades>

#### As highlighted by GS, investors are quietly rotating capital towards the “unloved” corners of the market: hard-asset exposure and ex-AI equity trades.

The AI trade is not dead - but its composition, its momentum profile, and its margin of safety are all being rewritten in real time. The good news: there are plenty ways to diversify. As shown on the chart below, the broader market ex AI (SPXXAI) is now very negatively correlated with AI, making a strong case for ‘broadening’ exposure. Source: zerohedge, GS

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#AI](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/ai)

![As highlighted by GS, investors are quietly rotating capital towards the “unloved” corners of the market: hard-asset exposure and ex-AI equity trades.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787479532843.jpg)

![As highlighted by GS, investors are quietly rotating capital towards the “unloved” corners of the market: hard-asset exposure and ex-AI equity trades.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787479532843.jpg)

24 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nvidia-nvda-reports-wednesday-with-eps-expected-to-nearly-double-yoy-on-relentless-ai-infrastructure-demand&text=Nvidia,%20$NVDA,%20reports%20Wednesday,%20with%20EPS%20expected%20to%20nearly%20double%20YoY%20on%20relentless%20AI%20infrastructure%20demand>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nvidia-nvda-reports-wednesday-with-eps-expected-to-nearly-double-yoy-on-relentless-ai-infrastructure-demand&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787523234525.jpg&title=Nvidia,%20$NVDA,%20reports%20Wednesday,%20with%20EPS%20expected%20to%20nearly%20double%20YoY%20on%20relentless%20AI%20infrastructure%20demand&summary=Source:%20Hedgeye%20Bloomberg&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nvidia-nvda-reports-wednesday-with-eps-expected-to-nearly-double-yoy-on-relentless-ai-infrastructure-demand>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/nvidia-nvda-reports-wednesday-with-eps-expected-to-nearly-double-yoy-on-relentless-ai-infrastructure-demand>

#### Nvidia, $NVDA, reports Wednesday, with EPS expected to nearly double YoY on relentless AI infrastructure demand

Source: Hedgeye Bloomberg

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#equities](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/equities)

![Nvidia, $NVDA, reports Wednesday, with EPS expected to nearly double YoY on relentless AI infrastructure demand](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787523234525.jpg)

![Nvidia, $NVDA, reports Wednesday, with EPS expected to nearly double YoY on relentless AI infrastructure demand](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787523234525.jpg)

24 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/during-midterm-election-years-september-has-historically-been-the-sp-500s-worst-month&text=During%20midterm%20election%20years,%20September%20has%20historically%20been%20the%20S&P%20500’s%20worst%20month.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/during-midterm-election-years-september-has-historically-been-the-sp-500s-worst-month&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1787523351527.jpg&title=During%20midterm%20election%20years,%20September%20has%20historically%20been%20the%20S&P%20500’s%20worst%20month.&summary=October%20and%20November%20tell%20a%20very%20different%20story.%20Source:%20TrendSpider&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/during-midterm-election-years-september-has-historically-been-the-sp-500s-worst-month>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/during-midterm-election-years-september-has-historically-been-the-sp-500s-worst-month>

#### During midterm election years, September has historically been the S&P 500’s worst month.

October and November tell a very different story. Source: TrendSpider

[#markets|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets) [#equities](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/equities)

![During midterm election years, September has historically been the S&P 500’s worst month.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787523351527.jpg)

![During midterm election years, September has historically been the S&P 500’s worst month.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1787523351527.jpg)

❮❮ [❮](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/7)

[6](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/6) [7](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/7) [8](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/8) [9](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/9) [10](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/10)

[❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/9) [❯❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/markets/page/146?hsLang=en)

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