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Alphabet $GOOGL Waymo weekly rides now at 450k:
• Jul 2024 ➝ 50k • Oct 2024 ➝ 100k • Dec 2024 ➝ 150k • Feb 2025 ➝ 200k • May '25 ➝ 250k • Dec 2025 ➝ 450k The latest figure appears to have been leaked from an investor-letter cited (Tiger Global) by media.
Here's a chart that shows the US labor market is improving - and not deteriorating.
The NFIB Small Business Optimism survey saw a rise in the number of firms who plan to increase employment versus decrease employment. Over the last 6 months, the rate-of-change exceeds 96% of all periods since 1985. Source: Jeff Weniger
It looks like those who did zero homework on the First Brands term loans did exactly zero homework on the First Brands DIP loans.
A DIP (Debtor in Possession) loan is a form of financing that is provided to companies facing financial distress and who are in need of bankruptcy relief. In other words, the main purpose of DIP financing is to help fund an organization out of bankruptcy. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
🚨 In case you missed it...
JPMorgan cracked nearly 5% yesterday after the bank told investors that it will spend billions of dollars more in expenses ...
Oracle 5Y CDS graph looks exciting $ORCL until you run the math and realize that it is only pricing in 1.93% probability of default per year.
And a 9% 5 year cumulative probability of default... Historically, ORCL CDS traded around 20–40 bps, so 117 bps represents a material repricing of risk, but not a distressed profile. Source: Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) @SpecialSitsNews
"Low hire, low fire... low quitting"
In the US, number of quits plunges to 5 years low, as hiring slide accelerates Source: zerohedge
The gold-to-silver ratio is starting to move abruptly, as it often does after reaching extremely elevated levels.
Source: Tavi Costa
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