Chart #1 —
A first presidential debate that failed for Joe Biden but worked in Trump's favour
The first presidential debate between Trump and Biden was mediocre in terms of content. However, it was the format that truly made an impact: Joe Biden appeared to be in a physical and mental state that could hinder his chances of re-election. Consequently, according to the betting website Predictit, Trump's chances of winning the presidential election have risen to 60% (represented by the red line below), while Biden's have significantly decreased (indicated by the blue line below).
As the Politico website points out, the Democrats started sounding the alarm the second Biden began speaking in a hoarse, hesitant voice. A few minutes into the debate, he tried to defend his economic record, but quickly got tangled up. He then failed to describe the key healthcare initiatives he has placed at the centre of his re-election bid, saying "we finally beat Medicare" and incorrectly stating how much his administration has cut the price of insulin. On Afghanistan, he got himself into an impasse by referring to his administration's botched withdrawal without being invited to talk about it. He repeatedly confused the words "billion" and "million" and very often found himself on the defensive during this 90-minute debate.
And when he wasn't talking, Mr. Biden stood frozen behind his podium, wide-eyed and unblinking, for seemingly endless minutes...
Rumors are circulating that the Democrats will replace their candidate while there's still time.
Source: Bloomberg