17 Nov 2025

$GOOGL versus $ORACL: what is the message from the market?

Here's a potential explanation by Mac10: "As a proxy for OpenAI stock which is private, we have OpenAI vendor Oracle as proof of the failure of the OpenAI economic model. Oracle is down -35% from the high in clear repudiation of the Ponzi financing model. Meanwhile Google is having its best seven months in company history which shows the superiority of the self-financed model. It's clear that market is saying that Google will "win" the AI arms race, meaning survive this endurance contest". Maybe a bit extreme. But can we say at least that Mr Market has his doubts about the belief there are economies of scale to AI which is why the market is rejecting the OpenAI vendor financing approach and goes "all-in" the self-financing model of Alphabet??? Source: Mac10

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