With $BTC closing the quarter above $105k, it means that MSTR quarterly income is likely to be above $12 billion. As a consequence, Strategy has officially qualified for consideration for S&P 500 inclusion in September. Is the S&P 500 front running starting? Here's what you need to know as highlighted by My Top 5 Crypto @mytop5crypto on X 📈 1. Q2 2025 Profit Surge (~$22B+) •The company is expected to report an unrealized gain of around $22.7 billion on its BTC holdings for Q2 2025 potentially the largest quarterly profit in its history. •This gain emerges from its nearly 600,000 BTC stash, acquired at an average cost around $66K per coin. •Thanks to a recent FASB accounting change, these fair value gains are now included in net income, unlike prior quarters which showed losses despite rising Btc prices. 📊 2. S&P 500 Inclusion: Poised, But Not Guaranteed What Needs to Happen for Inclusion: •A company must: 1.Have a market cap above ~$20.5 billion. 2.Maintain sufficient float and liquidity. 3.Post positive GAAP net income in the latest quarter and cumulatively over the past four quarters. •Strategy currently satisfies the first two metrics. The missing piece was profitability, but Q2’s record gain may close that gap. •Analyst Jeff Walton estimates a 91% chance of S&P inclusion if Bitcoin holds above ~$95,240 through June 30. The company did maintain that threshold through the quarter’s end. ✅ Potential Catalysts: •Index fund inflows: If Strategy joins the S&P 500, passive funds (like SPY) must buy in pushing demand and share price higher. •Broader impact on BTC exposure: It could cement Strategy as a mainstream BTC proxy within traditional portfolios. ⚠️ Key Risks: •Highly tied to BTC: Volatility in BTC directly impacts its earnings and eligibility; a significant correction could destabilize earnings. •Unrealized gains only: Booked on paper via fair value accounting, but not actual cash unless they sell. •Margins & core biz stagnant: Its BI and analytics division still shows declining revenue and a hefty operating expense buildup.