Slow food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

Below are the top 10 events and surprises that could impact financial markets and the global economy in the New Year. These are not forecasts, but potential macroeconomic, geopolitical, or market events that are not anticipated by financial markets. We also try to assess the probability of occurrence (high, medium, low) of each of them.

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Fast food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

A “not so hawkish” Fed rate cut and ECB Schnabel’s comments drove a yield curve bear steepening last week.

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16/12/2025

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