Chart #1 —
A Fed cut, the end of quantitative tightening, yet a hawkish shift in tone
The Federal Reserve delivered a rate cut and announced the conclusion of its quantitative tightening programme. However, Chair Powell’s unexpectedly hawkish remarks prompted markets to sharply scale back expectations for a December rate cut. As a result, US Treasury yields surged, equities lost ground, and the dollar strengthened.
The decision to end QT may help alleviate near-term liquidity pressures and ease tensions in money markets. In the coming weeks, investors will closely assess how the Fed’s move, Powell’s cautious messaging, and upcoming liquidity indicators influence inflation expectations.
Given the current data gaps caused by the government shutdown, both policymakers and markets remain in a wait-and-see mode. As Powell underlined, another rate cut in December is “not a foregone conclusion – far from it."

Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg








