Softer inflation data sparks a global bond rally, Japanese yields hit multi-year highs, and credit markets rebound with resilience, shaping an optimistic start to 2025.

In the first weeks of 2025, U.S. Treasury yields hit new highs, credit markets stay steady despite record issuance, and emerging markets showcase resilience with tightening spreads.

In 2024, U.S. Treasuries underperformed cash, while high-yield credit and emerging market bonds delivered exceptional returns—setting the stage for pivotal shifts in 2025.

Fed's surprise (very) hawkish stance sends 10-year US Treasury yields soaring above 4.5% - the highest since May 2024 - setting the stage for an uncertain 2025.

Global markets brace for central banks’ final 2024 moves, as the Fed prepares for another rate cut, Europe faces spread compression amidst rising rates, and emerging markets navigate a mixed landscape of tightening spreads and fiscal adjustments.

Central banks face a delicate balancing act, with the Fed set for a likely December rate cut amid resilient U.S. growth, while the ECB prepares for gradual easing as political instability and slowing inflation grip Europe.

U.S. Treasuries posted a strong finish to November, gaining +0.8% for the month, as Scott Bessent’s nomination as Treasury Secretary and softer-than-expected macroeconomic data provided a supportive backdrop.

Diverging economic trajectories widen the transatlantic gap, as resilient U.S. growth reshapes Fed policy expectations while Europe grapples with recession risks and deflationary pressures, driving contrasting bond market dynamics.

While U.S. Treasury volatility remains elevated, credit spreads show resilience, reflecting market optimism, even as fiscal uncertainties and rising rates weigh on global bond markets.

Post-election relief in U.S. Treasuries brought temporary calm, but bond markets remain cautious as Trump’s fiscal policies and central bank adjustments hint at potential inflationary pressures and heightened volatility in the months ahead.