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Equities shrug off The Fed & downbeat GDP report
US stocks posted solid gains despite another 75-basis-point rate hike from the Fed and news that the US economy contracted at a 0.9% annual rate in the second quarter. It seems that “bad news is good news” again as investors have been decreasing rate hikes expectations which leads to Growth stocks outperforming value stocks again. With 50% of the companies in the S&P 500 Index reporting earnings during the week, investors also focused on quarterly numbers from tech giants. Amazon.com and Alphabet jumped on Wednesday after posting better-than-feared earnings results. Sparked by Powell’s dovish post-FOMC meeting comments, the U.S. Treasury yield curve steepened, with intermediate- and short-term yields decreasing and long-maturity rates holding generally steady. Confirmation that GDP contracted over the first two quarters of the year also fueled demand for short- and intermediate-term Treasuries. High yield bond market sentiment improved after the Fed meeting. Shares in Europe gained ground, boosted by data showing that the eurozone economy expanded at a higher-than-expected rate of 0.7% in the second quarter. Markets largely shrugged off concerns about rising natural gas prices due to reduced Russian supply. Meanwhile, an early estimate of euro area inflation came in above expectations, hitting 8.9% in July, driven by food and energy prices. Cryptocurrencies soared while the dollar weakened over the week.
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The S&P 500 closed at a fresh all-time high on Friday, rising for a 5th consecutive week, its longest weekly winning streak since 2024. This brings the index up +15% since the March 30 low, also marking April as the best month for stocks since November 2022. Stocks largely shrugged off the stream of sometimes conflicting headlines about the war in the Middle East and a surprisingly hawkish Federal Reserve policy meeting to post solid gains in most major indexes. Large-cap stocks outpaced small-caps, and value outperformed growth. Five of the “Mag 7” companies reported earnings, with financial results generally meeting or exceeding expectations for these bellwether firms. Meanwhile, major central banks keep rates on hold amid war uncertainty.