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WEEKLY SUMMARY: A week of surprises, shifts, and speculations
The main US equity indices were mixed with the #Nasdaq outperforming (along with the S&P 500) while The Dow ended lower on the week. Growth #stocks handily outperformed value shares, helped by another substantial #earnings and revenue beat by artificial intelligence chipmaker #NVIDIA. Financials pulled back early in the week after S&P Global downgraded its credit ratings of five regional banks. Several retailers reported 2Q results, which arguably offered a generally cautious picture on the health of the U.S. consumer. On the macro side, disappointing data dominated the week with the Citi macro surprise index tumbling most since April. There were some bright spots: the weekly jobless claims report came in at 320,000, the lowest level in three weeks while US new home sales reached their highest level in July since early 2022, despite the highest mortgage rates in years. On Friday, before the central bank’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Powell's speech was hawkish but more balanced than last year and than some had feared. The highlight was on data-dependency as options remain open. After hitting its highest intraday level (4.36%) since 2007 on Tuesday, the US 10-year yield fell back to end relatively unchanged for the week at 4.24%. In Europe, the STOXX Europe 600 Index ended 0.66% higher as European natural gas prices dropped and expectations grew that interest rates may soon peak. Chinese stocks fell as investors grew more pessimistic about the country’s economic outlook.
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US equities managed to snap a string of three weekly losses. Earnings took center stage with the spotlight on the Magnificent 7 stocks. Despite the high bar, companies have so far been able to beat expectations, helping the S&P 500 recover half of its April losses. The Nasdaq outperformed, up 4% on the week (its best week since the start of Nov 2023), helped in part by strength in Apple and a late rebound in chipmaker NVIDIA. Shares in Google parent Alphabet also surged in the week following its announcement of better-than-expected Q1 earnings along with the company’s first dividend payment. The Dow was the laggard. On the Macro side, the US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.6% in Q1, well below consensus estimates of around 2.5% and the slowest pace of growth in nearly two years.