WEEKLY SUMMARY: Good macro news are bad news for the market
Stocks closed lower over the holiday-shortened week as positive economic data drove an increase in bond yields. Growth stocks and large-caps outperformed value and small-caps. Apple was one of the main negative performance contributors after news that Chinese government employees would no longer be able to use iPhones. Declines in NVIDIA and other chipmakers also weighed on the indexes. Macroeconomic data surprised on the upside. E.g the ISM report on August services sector activity jumped unexpectedly to its highest level since February. Meanwhile, Thursday’s weekly jobless claims report came in lower than expected; the number of Americans applying for unemployment in the previous week fell to 216,000, the lowest level in six months. The jobless numbers sparked a rise in short-term bond yields, with the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note briefly crossing back above the 5% threshold on Thursday afternoon. In Europe, the STOXX Europe 600 Index ended 0.76% lower as a string of economic data provided more signals that the eurozone economy continues to stumble. Chinese stocks retreated as the latest economic indicators reinforced concerns about the country’s weakening outlook. Oil prices rallied for the 9th week of the last 11 with WTI pushing up towards $90 (its highest weekly close since November). The dollar surged to its best week since February and its highest weekly close since December. The dollar has risen for 8 straight weeks.
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U.S. equities declined during the week. Small-cap stocks underperformed their large-cap peers for the fifth week in the past six weeks, as the Russell 2000 Index dipped into correction territory. Value stocks held up better than their growth counterparts. The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.34%, its biggest weekly drop since mid-November. The week started on a positive note following a report that the incoming Trump administration’s proposed stance on tariffs was likely to be softer than previously indicated. However, optimism faded throughout the week after President-elect Donald Trump refuted these reports and several pieces of economic data fueled concerns about stubborn inflation.