Bitcoin is breaking...
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BTC has been trapped in a multi-month range, but is now testing a key inflection: the major downtrend line and the 100-day moving average. A decisive break above ~$75k opens the door for a squeeze, with little resistance until the 200-day near ~$87k. Source: TME
as it seeks to retain control over passage through the key waterway during the two-week ceasefire. Hamid Hosseini, a spokesperson for Iran’s Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Products Exporters’ Union, told the FT on Wednesday that Iran wanted to collect tolling fees from any tanker passing and to assess each ship. He said that the tariff is $1 per barrel of hashtag#oil, adding that empty tankers can pass freely. “Once the email arrives and Iran completes its assessment, vessels are given a few seconds to pay in hashtag#bitcoin, ensuring they can’t be traced or confiscated due to sanctions,” Hosseini added. So why does Iran want to be paid in hashtag#bitcoin? Bacause: - It is portable - It is divisible - It can be trusted - It is economically & politically neutral - It has immutable monetary policy - It has perfect property rights But also because it preserves long-term purchasing power from finite energy exports. Indeed, storing oil revenues in traditional assets like US Treasury bonds can erode value over time, especially as energy prices rise faster than returns. Historical examples suggest Iran would struggle to repurchase the same oil it once sold. In contrast, assets like gold—and more recently Bitcoin—have better preserved or increased purchasing power relative to energy. Bitcoin, in particular, has dramatically outperformed oil prices since 2013. The conclusion is that commodity exporters may increasingly shift reserves into assets like gold and crypto to avoid losing value.
"Maybe it takes a physical conflict to realise Bitcoin remains the most portable (cross border), digital and liquid asset w/no counter-party risks," Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani wrote in a note. Key Implications of the Statement: ➡️ Cross-Border Portability: Bitcoin can be transferred anywhere in the world, bypassing traditional banking restrictions that may arise during conflicts. ➡️Digital Nature: Being entirely digital, it is not susceptible to physical seizure, unlike gold or fiat currency. ➡️No Counter-party Risk: Because Bitcoin is decentralized, it does not rely on a central bank or government to guarantee its value or facilitate transactions. ➡️Liquidity: The asset can be readily exchanged, providing a financial safety net when local banking systems are compromised. Chhugani has previously pointed to rising tensions as a catalyst for investors to reconsider Bitcoin as a "safe haven" asset that operates outside of traditional financial infrastructure. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ