26 Jul 2023

Remarkable Rally Continues in US High Yield CCC-Rated Bonds!

The Bloomberg US High Yield corporate CCC-rated bond index has delivered a staggering return of over 11% in 2023 so far. To put things into perspective, this level of performance has only been surpassed once in the last decade, back in 2016! The impressive rally in this segment can be attributed to the significant tightening of CCC credit spreads, which have contracted by a remarkable 200bps! Additionally, the high carry of the CCC-rated bonds, with an average yield-to-maturity of 13% in 2023, has contributed to the sector's stellar performance. However, as we approach a critical juncture in the economy, with looming concerns over a potential recession, the question arises: can this impressive performance sustain itself? While a soft landing scenario seems currently fully priced in, the possibility of a materialized recession in the coming months adds an element of uncertainty to the equation. Source : Bloomberg


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