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US 10 year yields are back to Liberation Day while stocks are 10% lower...Are US Treasuries losing their safe have status? Or was it related to China dumping more treasuries as part of their retaliation plan? As Goldman's Mike Washington writes, there were lot of client questions on what is behind the higher yields; GS rates specialist Mike Cassell writes, “A lot of supply coming up in 10s and 30s later this week...and we are seeing increasing numbers of clients worried about stagflation + fiscal expansion+ lack of sponsorship of issuance. On the stagflation note, we had FOMC Kugler out earlier today saying inflation more an urgent issue than growth...this is a toxic mix if so. Flow wise we have seen HF paying the belly in swap and large selloff/steepening on futures flows.” And of course, China may well be selling in retaliation to Trump's tariffs; we'll know soon enough. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
The US share in the global stock market has fallen 3-4 percentage points since its November 2024 peak of 67%. This comes as the US has significantly underperformed other markets this year. Many investors are not ready for this.. Source: BofA, Global Markets Investor