The latest inflation data reinforce market expectations of a Fed rate hike in September
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$100bn in investment, $209bn in projected state revenue, 65 billion barrels of oil. The figures attached to the new US-Venezuela deal are as large as the uncertainty surrounding them.
Investors have always listened carefully to what CEOs and CFOs say. But the sheer volume of earnings-call transcripts made systematic analysis virtually impossible: investors could read individual calls, but not reliably extract and compare narratives across thousands of companies. AI changes that.
Meanwhile, European countries are having their own bond crisis. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.
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U.S. stocks ended the holiday-shortened week lower as escalating Middle East tensions pushed oil prices toward $110 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns and driving Treasury yields higher. Small and mid-caps suffered most: the Russell 2000 fell 2.4% and the S&P Mid-Cap 400 lost 1.9%, while the Nasdaq declined just 0.7%.The 10-year Treasury yield approached 5%, pressured by higher energy prices, persistent inflation, heavy government issuance and a smaller-than-expected Treasury buyback. August data reinforced expectations of a September Fed rate hike. Producer prices rose 5.4% year-on-year, while core consumer prices increased 0.3% month-on-month—slightly above forecasts. Markets subsequently raised the probability of a September hike to 87%. Meanwhile, jobless claims remained stable, suggesting continued labour-market resilience.
The latest inflation data reinforce market expectations of a Fed rate hike in September
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