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WEEKLY SUMMARY: The Nasdaq is down for the 2nd week in a row
US equity indices ended mixed for the week, as investors weighed inflation data against worries over the recent rise in long-term interest rates. Volumes were generally light. Value stocks handily outperformed growth stocks; the Dow managed a modest gain while the Nasdaq was down (-2%) for the 2nd straight week (1st time since December.). Healthcare outperformed while technology stocks underperformed on worries that rising rates would reduce the value of future profits. Financials stocks sold off briefly on Tuesday morning after Moody’s lowered its credit ratings for 10 small- and mid-cap banks and placed six other entities on downgrade watch. Shares in the sector recovered to some degree as the week progressed, however. On the macro side, US CPI rose 0.2% in July, bringing its y/y increase to 3.2%, a tick below expectations. Meanwhile, US producer prices rose 0.3% in the month, a tick above expectations. The week also brought a somewhat mixed inflation outlook from Federal Reserve officials. US Treasury yields moved higher over the week. European stocks ended little changed while Italy’s government spooks markets with windfall tax on banks. In Asia, Japan’s stock markets rose over a holiday-shortened week. Chinese stocks retreated as mounting evidence that the country’s recovery may have peaked weighed on sentiment. China’s latest inflation data revealed that consumer and producer prices fell in tandem for the 1st time since November 2020, underscoring the weak demand in China.
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U.S. stock indexes finished the holiday-shortened week higher, boosted by dovish comments from some Fed officials and several weaker-than-expected economic reports that seemed to reinforce the idea that a December rate cut remains on track. Small-cap stocks outperformed their large-cap peers, as the Russell 2000 Index advanced 5.5%. The Nasdaq Composite also posted strong returns, rebounding from the prior week’s sell-off as concerns regarding elevated valuations and spending on AI appeared to take a back seat to optimism around the growth potential from the technology. In economic news, U.S. retail sales increased by 0.2% in September (below +0.4% estimates). September PPI rose 0.3% in September, in line with estimates.