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Late gains helped the US main stock benchmarks to close in positive territory for the week after they briefly hit correction territory (down more than 10% from recent highs). The small-cap Russell 2000 Index lagged and ended the week down nearly 20% from its November peak, leaving it just outside of a bear market. The VIX index reached its highest level since the early months of the pandemic. Energy stocks rallied as international oil prices pushed above USD 90 per barrel, driven in part by the continued massing of Russian troops along the border with Ukraine. Fears that the Fed might be forced to raise short-term interest rates quickly to tame inflation weighed heavily on sentiment as the FOMC met during the week. Fed Chair Powell kept interest rates steady but left open the possibility that rates might rise more than 0.75% in 2022. Shares in Europe fell for a fourth consecutive week, extending declines on rising concerns about interest rate increases and escalating tensions between Russia and the West. This week saw US 2-year Treasury yields jump most since October 2019. The dollar soared higher for the 5th straight week (best week since June 2021), closing at its highest since July 2020. Cryptos stabilized.
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US stocks recorded modest gains over the shortened trading week (markets were closed on Wednesday), with the S&P 500 hitting 5,500 intraday for the 1st time ever. The week also saw modest signs of rotation in the market, with value stocks outperforming growth as Nvidia suffered its first down-week in two months. Friday was a so-called triple-witching day, with roughly USD 5.5 trillion in options related to indexes, stocks and ETFs expiring. The start of the week brought some evidence of US economy easing with retail sales signalling less discretionary spending. But data released later in the week suggested that the economy was stronger than indicated by retail sales.