21 Mar 2025

🔴 Germany’s 10-year bond yield rising to 4% is “entirely feasible” as a reset in the country’s borrowing costs plays out, according to Aviva Investors.

The rate surged to nearly 3% in recent weeks as Germany’s incoming chancellor spearheaded a huge spending package that is expected to lead to billions of euros in extra bond sales. Vasileios Gkionakis, senior economist and strategist at Aviva Investors, says yields are likely to keep rising as the fiscal measures boost economic growth. ➡️ 4% for German 10-Year Bund would mean German mortgages at 5% to 6% and the burst of the epic German real estate bubble. Would it also mean Italian, Spanish and French bonds yields at a level that could trigger the next Euro crisis. Good luck. Source: Bloomberg

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