JUST IN: US RFK Jr. withdrew from the presidential race, and the Trump campaign announced a special guest in today’s rally
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According to leaked financials, OpenAI is preparing to lose $74B in 2028 alone — yes, one year — before expecting to swing to real profitability by 2030. What about this year? $13B in revenue $9B in cash burn A burn rate of ~70% of revenue ‼️ And it only gets wilder: OpenAI expects three-quarters of its 2028 revenue to be wiped out by operating losses. Meanwhile, competitor Anthropic expects to break even in 2028. OpenAI expects to burn $115B cumulatively through 2029. OpenAI’s commitments: Up to $1.4T over 8 years for compute deals Nearly $100B on backup data-center capacity Aiming for $200B in revenue by 2030 (a 15x jump from today) 💡 The read-through: This is the biggest strategic divergence in AI right now: Anthropic = disciplined scaling OpenAI = moonshot economics OpenAI is effectively saying: “We’ll lose tens of billions now to own the entire future later.” But there’s a catch: 95% of businesses still get zero real value from AI today. And OpenAI is funding its hyperscale buildout not from revenue (like AWS did), but from debt, investors, and chip-supplier deals — while losing money on every ChatGPT interaction. This ends one of two ways: 🚀 The most valuable company in history 💥 Or a case study in overestimating demand There’s no middle lane when you’re burning cash faster than any startup in history... Source: hedgie on X
The Fed cut rates ✅ Ended QT ✅ A few dissenters ✅ Markets? Totally unfazed. S&P flat. Yields steady. Commodities and crypto asleep. And then — 2:35 PM. Powell drops one line that flips everything: “December cut is not for sure, far from it.” Boom 💥 Rate-cut odds crash from 95% → 65% in minutes. Stocks wobble. Yields jump. Traders scramble. Moral of the story? In markets, boredom never lasts long — and one sentence from the Fed can move trillions.
Moving from restrictive → supportive balance sheet policy. This is not QE, but it is definitely a positive development that provides a mild liquidity tailwind for markets. Source: Joe Consorti @JoeConsorti

