Visual Capitalist's Marcus Lu created the following chart, visualizing GDP growth forecasts from the IMF’s October 2023 World Economic Outlook
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China's economic performance in November fell short of expectations across key metrics, signaling a deepening slowdown as authorities grapple with weak demand, property sector decline, and supply-side constraints. Key data points: 🔴 Retail Sales: Rose 1.3% year-on-year (YoY), sharply missing the 2.8% forecast and slowing significantly from 2.9% in October. 🔴 Industrial Production: Climbed 4.8% YoY, missing the 5.0% forecast and marking its weakest growth since August 2024. 🔴 Fixed-Asset Investment (YTD): Contracted 2.6% over the January-November period (worse than the 2.3% forecast). This contraction deepened from the prior period (1.7% drop) and represents the sharpest slump since the 2020 pandemic outbreak. Source: CNBC
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Everyone is talking about interest rates and inflation, but here’s the underappreciated truth: The average US household’s net worth has silently exploded thanks to unbelievable equity returns over the last five years. 📈 That extra few hundred dollars on discretionary spending? It’s mentally offset by a stock portfolio that's sitting significantly higher. The Takeaway: This "wealth effect" isn't just a coincidence, it's likely among the reasons why the long-predicted recession keeps failing to materialize. When people feel richer, they spend! Source: Boring_Business @BoringBiz_

